PreprintarXiv licencearXiv
Functional Inference for the Mean Curve of Intraday Spot Correlation
Abstract
In this paper, we propose estimators for the mean of the daily spot-correlation curves, which are robust to the presence of finite-variation jumps in the price processes. The related feasible functional central limit theorems for the proposed estimators have been established under a joint infill and long-span setting. Based on the asymptotic theory, we develop a test procedure for flatness of the curves. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the strong finite-sample performance of the estimators. In an empirical application to 30 U.S. stocks from 2010 to 2019, we find a pronounced end-of-day surge in the mean of correlation curves across diverse stock groupings, alongside substantial calendar-time non-flatness in the curves.
Related
BibTeX
@misc{guo2026functional,
title = {{Functional Inference for the Mean Curve of Intraday Spot Correlation}},
author = {Aodong Guo and Yu Jiang and Zhi Liu},
howpublished = {arXiv},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.31208},
eprint = {2610.31208},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.31208},
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
TI - Functional Inference for the Mean Curve of Intraday Spot Correlation
AU - Aodong Guo
AU - Yu Jiang
AU - Zhi Liu
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/22
PB - arXiv
DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.31208
UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.31208
AB - In this paper, we propose estimators for the mean of the daily spot-correlation curves, which are robust to the presence of finite-variation jumps in the price processes. The related feasible functional central limit theorems for the proposed estimators have been established under a joint infill and long-span setting. Based on the asymptotic theory, we develop a test procedure for flatness of the curves. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the strong finite-sample performance of the estimators. In an empirical application to 30 U.S. stocks from 2010 to 2019, we find a pronounced end-of-day surge in the mean of correlation curves across diverse stock groupings, alongside substantial calendar-time non-flatness in the curves.
ER -