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PreprintCC BY-NC-ND 4.0arXiv

Optimal study interior partitioning (OSIP): An optimization approach to observational study design under fine balance constraints

Abstract

Covariate matching between treatment and control groups remains a foundational methodology in observational causal inference, designed to replicate the covariate balance of randomized controlled trials. Despite substantial methodological advancements, applied researchers continue to face an inherent trade-off between achieving rigorous balance and preserving the statistical power of the matched sample. We introduce a novel framework for a matching method named Optimal Study Interior Partitioning (OSIP). OSIP frames observational matching as a joint optimization problem governed simultaneously by a maximum cardinality constraint on the number of strata, and a strict fine balance threshold on the matching carried out in each strata. OSIP is based on two-stage optimization algorithm. In both stages it considers a projection of the (high-dimensional) data into one-dimensional space by evaluating an estimated propensity score for each unit. The method is based on enforcing a partition of the input to subsets of consecutive intervals of estimated propensity scores. The novelty arises because we consider this task as a global optimization problem. In the first stage, we employ an optimal partitioning algorithm with respect to an auxiliary (one-dimensional) goal function. In the second phase, we go back to the original distance function and apply heuristics approaches locally optimizing the solution from the first stage. We compare our framework with established methodologies from the literature across well-studied empirical benchmarks. We use the standard benchmark of Lindner cardiovascular dataset to demonstrate that OSIP provides a highly efficient sweet spot solution for the corresponding multi-criteria goal. This conclusion is verified by considering also other benchmark datasets.

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BibTeX
@misc{adar2026optimal,
  title = {{Optimal study interior partitioning (OSIP): An optimization approach to observational study design under fine balance constraints}},
  author = {Ron Adar and Asaf Levin},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.21902},
  eprint = {2609.21902},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.21902},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Optimal study interior partitioning (OSIP): An optimization approach to observational study design under fine balance constraints
AU  - Ron Adar
AU  - Asaf Levin
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/18
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.21902
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.21902
AB  - Covariate matching between treatment and control groups remains a foundational methodology in observational causal inference, designed to replicate the covariate balance of randomized controlled trials. Despite substantial methodological advancements, applied researchers continue to face an inherent trade-off between achieving rigorous balance and preserving the statistical power of the matched sample. We introduce a novel framework for a matching method named Optimal Study Interior Partitioning (OSIP). OSIP frames observational matching as a joint optimization problem governed simultaneously by a maximum cardinality constraint on the number of strata, and a strict fine balance threshold on the matching carried out in each strata. OSIP is based on two-stage optimization algorithm. In both stages it considers a projection of the (high-dimensional) data into one-dimensional space by evaluating an estimated propensity score for each unit. The method is based on enforcing a partition of the input to subsets of consecutive intervals of estimated propensity scores. The novelty arises because we consider this task as a global optimization problem. In the first stage, we employ an optimal partitioning algorithm with respect to an auxiliary (one-dimensional) goal function. In the second phase, we go back to the original distance function and apply heuristics approaches locally optimizing the solution from the first stage. We compare our framework with established methodologies from the literature across well-studied empirical benchmarks. We use the standard benchmark of Lindner cardiovascular dataset to demonstrate that OSIP provides a highly efficient sweet spot solution for the corresponding multi-criteria goal. This conclusion is verified by considering also other benchmark datasets.
ER  -