Skip to content
DraconiticResearch
Search Sources API
194,220 studies31 sourcesUpdated 58 min ago
PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates

Abstract

We introduce the Functional Spectral-Newton Method (FSNM) for learning the leading singular structure of a conditional expectation operator without fixing a basis or reproducing kernel Hilbert space. FSNM fits a low-rank representation of the centered joint-to-product density ratio kernel by alternating functional Newton updates. Each update reduces to a preconditioned regression, which we approximate with vector-valued regression trees in a stagewise boosting procedure. At the population level, we establish descent and an O(1/T) best-iterate block-stationarity rate under a relative weak-learner accuracy condition, and show that every nondegenerate local minimum over the full centered L2 spaces is a globally optimal rank-d approximation. Synthetic experiments show that FSNM recovers a low-rank density ratio and its leading spectral structure, and that the same learned kernel can answer multiple conditional queries without refitting.

Related

  1. Multi-Task Learning of Conditional Mean Operators: applications to dynamical systems and uncertainty quantification
    Sami Chemlal, Thibaut Germain, Rémi Flamary +2
    arXivPreprintCC BY 4.0Full textStatisticsarXiv
  2. The conditional expectation of the product of the first n−1 Hermite polynomials in a multivariate normal distribution with respect to the n-th variable. A fresh perspective on the Kibble-Slepian formula
    Paweł J. Szabłowski
    arXivPreprintCC BY 4.0Full textProbabilityarXiv
  3. Dimension Reduction for the Trivariate Normal Product Distribution: An Efficient Numerical Algorithm via Conditional Expectation
    Davood Tofighi
    arXivPreprintCC BY 4.0Full textStatisticsarXiv
  4. A plug-in estimator of the non-iterative conditional expectation g-formula using long short-term memory models
    Jing Li, Sophia M. Rein, Zilong Wang +6
    arXivPreprintarXiv licenceFull textStatisticsarXiv
  5. Continuous Distributional Characterizations via a Single Characterizing Function and Lambert W Conditional Expectation Identities
    Ali A. Al-Shomrani
    AxiomsPeer-reviewedCC BY 4.0General mathematicsCrossref
BibTeX
@misc{ramos2026learning,
  title = {{Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates}},
  author = {Thiago Ramos and Alek Fröhlich and Daniel Perazzo and Massimiliano Pontil},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.35598},
  eprint = {2609.35598},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.35598},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates
AU  - Thiago Ramos
AU  - Alek Fröhlich
AU  - Daniel Perazzo
AU  - Massimiliano Pontil
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/28
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.35598
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.35598
AB  - We introduce the Functional Spectral-Newton Method (FSNM) for learning the leading singular structure of a conditional expectation operator without fixing a basis or reproducing kernel Hilbert space. FSNM fits a low-rank representation of the centered joint-to-product density ratio kernel by alternating functional Newton updates. Each update reduces to a preconditioned regression, which we approximate with vector-valued regression trees in a stagewise boosting procedure. At the population level, we establish descent and an O(1/T) best-iterate block-stationarity rate under a relative weak-learner accuracy condition, and show that every nondegenerate local minimum over the full centered L^2 spaces is a globally optimal rank-d approximation. Synthetic experiments show that FSNM recovers a low-rank density ratio and its leading spectral structure, and that the same learned kernel can answer multiple conditional queries without refitting.
ER  -