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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Variance of random greedy independent sets in triangle-free graphs

Abstract

Inspect the vertices of a finite simple graph in uniformly random order, accepting each vertex if none of its neighbors has previously been accepted. Let XG be the number of accepted vertices. For every triangle-free graph with n≥2 vertices and e edges, we prove Var(XG)≤ e((n−2)/n)2, with equality precisely for edgeless graphs and connected stars. In particular, among trees of a given order, the star uniquely maximizes the variance, with value (n−1)(n−2)2/n2. Known expected vertex-deletion stability already yields the elementary baseline Var(XG)≤ e. We obtain the sharp finite-order refinement by combining a stronger centered first-choice estimate with a triangle-free edge-count identity in the law of total variance.

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BibTeX
@misc{shaikh2026variance,
  title = {{Variance of random greedy independent sets in triangle-free graphs}},
  author = {Mubin Shaikh},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.14826},
  eprint = {2609.14826},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.14826},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Variance of random greedy independent sets in triangle-free graphs
AU  - Mubin Shaikh
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/13
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.14826
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.14826
AB  - Inspect the vertices of a finite simple graph in uniformly random order, accepting each vertex if none of its neighbors has previously been accepted. Let X_G be the number of accepted vertices. For every triangle-free graph with n≥2 vertices and e edges, we prove Var(X_G)≤ e((n−2)/n)^2, with equality precisely for edgeless graphs and connected stars. In particular, among trees of a given order, the star uniquely maximizes the variance, with value (n−1)(n−2)^2/n^2. Known expected vertex-deletion stability already yields the elementary baseline Var(X_G)≤ e. We obtain the sharp finite-order refinement by combining a stronger centered first-choice estimate with a triangle-free edge-count identity in the law of total variance.
ER  -