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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Journal of Clinical Medicine

Baseline Hemoglobin and Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease with Moderate-to-Severe Myocardial Ischemia: A Secondary Analysis of the ISCHEMIA-CKD Trial

  1. 1Department of Cardiology, Acıbadem Bayındır Söğütözü Hospital, Ankara 06250, Türkiye
  2. 2Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, Ankara Medipol University, Ankara 06050, Türkiye

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Hemoglobin may identify differences in prognosis among patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and documented myocardial ischemia. We examined the shape of its association with clinical outcomes in ISCHEMIA-CKD. Methods: This exploratory observational secondary analysis included 758 randomized participants with baseline hemoglobin. The primary endpoint was the parent-trial composite of all-cause death or myocardial infarction (MI). Adjusted Cox regression with restricted cubic splines characterized the hemoglobin association. Mortality and pooled nonfatal MI were examined using Cox and competing-risk models. Results: Median hemoglobin was 11.1 g/dL; 247 participants experienced the primary endpoint. The adjusted association departed from log-linearity (p = 0.015), with higher hazard at lower hemoglobin and an uncertain upper limb. Relative to 11.1 g/dL, the hazard ratio (HR) at 8 g/dL was 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26–3.10). As a linear summary, the HR per 1 g/dL lower hemoglobin was 1.13 (95% CI 1.04–1.23) for the primary endpoint. Corresponding mortality associations were present, whereas pooled nonfatal MI showed no clear association (subdistribution HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.89–1.21). Exploratory treatment interaction tests provided no convincing evidence of effect modification (linear p = 0.059; spline p = 0.124). Conclusions: Among selected, clinically stable participants with advanced CKD and moderate-to-severe ischemia, lower baseline hemoglobin was associated with adverse prognosis. Nonlinearity and uncertainty at higher values argue against a single summary estimate or an inferred optimal target. These potentially confounded findings neither establish benefit from hemoglobin correction nor support hemoglobin-based selection of invasive versus conservative management.

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BibTeX
@article{mammadli2026baseline,
  title = {{Baseline Hemoglobin and Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease with Moderate-to-Severe Myocardial Ischemia: A Secondary Analysis of the ISCHEMIA-CKD Trial}},
  author = {Anar Mammadli and Erdem Diker},
  journal = {Journal of Clinical Medicine},
  year = {2026},
  month = nov,
  doi = {10.3390/jcm15218610},
  url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/15/21/8610},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Baseline Hemoglobin and Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease with Moderate-to-Severe Myocardial Ischemia: A Secondary Analysis of the ISCHEMIA-CKD Trial
AU  - Anar Mammadli
AU  - Erdem Diker
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/11/05
JO  - Journal of Clinical Medicine
DO  - 10.3390/jcm15218610
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/15/21/8610
AB  - Background/Objectives: Hemoglobin may identify differences in prognosis among patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and documented myocardial ischemia. We examined the shape of its association with clinical outcomes in ISCHEMIA-CKD. Methods: This exploratory observational secondary analysis included 758 randomized participants with baseline hemoglobin. The primary endpoint was the parent-trial composite of all-cause death or myocardial infarction (MI). Adjusted Cox regression with restricted cubic splines characterized the hemoglobin association. Mortality and pooled nonfatal MI were examined using Cox and competing-risk models. Results: Median hemoglobin was 11.1 g/dL; 247 participants experienced the primary endpoint. The adjusted association departed from log-linearity (p = 0.015), with higher hazard at lower hemoglobin and an uncertain upper limb. Relative to 11.1 g/dL, the hazard ratio (HR) at 8 g/dL was 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26–3.10). As a linear summary, the HR per 1 g/dL lower hemoglobin was 1.13 (95% CI 1.04–1.23) for the primary endpoint. Corresponding mortality associations were present, whereas pooled nonfatal MI showed no clear association (subdistribution HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.89–1.21). Exploratory treatment interaction tests provided no convincing evidence of effect modification (linear p = 0.059; spline p = 0.124). Conclusions: Among selected, clinically stable participants with advanced CKD and moderate-to-severe ischemia, lower baseline hemoglobin was associated with adverse prognosis. Nonlinearity and uncertainty at higher values argue against a single summary estimate or an inferred optimal target. These potentially confounded findings neither establish benefit from hemoglobin correction nor support hemoglobin-based selection of invasive versus conservative management.
SN  - 2077-0383
ER  -