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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-NDBMC neurology

Mitochondrial Haplogroup U and multiple sclerosis risk in Arab and Near Eastern populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

  1. 1Bahçeşehir Cyprus University, North, Cyprus. [email protected].
  2. 2Sankofa Research and Mentorship Hub, Buea, Cameroon. [email protected].

Abstract

Background: Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory neurodegenerative disease with incompletely understood aetiology beyond the HLA-DRB1 locus. Mitochondrial haplogroup U, prevalent in Middle Eastern and Near Eastern populations, encodes functional variants in NADH dehydrogenase subunits associated with elevated reactive oxygen species (ROS) production. A 2022 study (Al-Kafaji et al., PLoS ONE) reported a nominal association between haplogroup U and RRMS in Saudi Arab patients (OR 6.26; 95% CI 0.82–48.10) in a single, small (n = 47) cohort. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine whether this signal is supported by independently verifiable case-control data from other Arab or Near Eastern populations.

Methods: PRISMA 2020 systematic review. PubMed/MEDLINE was searched to 15 July 2026 using a concept-level strategy – (“mitochondrial DNA”[tiab] OR “mtDNA”[tiab] OR “DNA, Mitochondrial”[MeSH] OR “Mitochondria”[MeSH]) AND (“haplogroup”[tiab] OR “haplogroups”[tiab] OR “haplotype”[tiab]) AND (“multiple sclerosis”[tiab] OR “Multiple Sclerosis”[MeSH] OR “demyelinating”[tiab] OR “RRMS”[tiab]) – with no population terms applied at the search stage; population eligibility (Arab or Near Eastern cohort) was assessed during screening rather than baked into the search string, to maximise sensitivity. Eligible studies were case-control studies reporting mitochondrial haplogroup U frequency in MS cases versus healthy controls in an Arab or Near Eastern population, with data sufficient to construct a 2 × 2 table. Odds ratios were pooled using a fixed-effect inverse-variance model.

Results: The search identified 30 records. After screening and full-text assessment, two studies met full inclusion criteria for quantitative pooling: Al-Kafaji et al. [1] (Saudi Arabia, n = 47) and Hassani-Kumleh et al. [2] (Iran, n = 154); total pooled N = 201 (77 MS cases, 124 controls). The fixed-effect pooled OR was 4.11 (95% CI 1.25–13.55; p = 0.020), with no meaningful heterogeneity (I²=0%, Cochran’s Q = 0.25, df = 1). Two further Near Eastern studies (Houshmand et al. [3]; Ghabaee et al. [4]) reported related but non-poolable data – haplogroup J association and a haplogroup U case-series prevalence without a control arm, respectively – and are discussed narratively.

Conclusions: Across two independently verified Near Eastern case-control cohorts, mitochondrial haplogroup U is significantly associated with increased MS risk (pooled OR 4.11, 95% CI 1.25–13.55). The evidence base remains small, and the wide confidence interval reflects this. A larger, prospective, adequately powered study in Arab and Near Eastern MS cohorts is needed to confirm and refine this association.

Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-026-05223-7.

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BibTeX
@article{shuaibu2026mitochondrial,
  title = {{Mitochondrial Haplogroup U and multiple sclerosis risk in Arab and Near Eastern populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.}},
  author = {Ibrahim Ibrahim Shuaibu},
  journal = {BMC neurology},
  year = {2026},
  month = aug,
  doi = {10.1186/s12883-026-05223-7},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42968057},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Mitochondrial Haplogroup U and multiple sclerosis risk in Arab and Near Eastern populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
AU  - Ibrahim Ibrahim Shuaibu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/08/05
JO  - BMC neurology
DO  - 10.1186/s12883-026-05223-7
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42968057
AB  - Background: Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory neurodegenerative disease with incompletely understood aetiology beyond the HLA-DRB1 locus. Mitochondrial haplogroup U, prevalent in Middle Eastern and Near Eastern populations, encodes functional variants in NADH dehydrogenase subunits associated with elevated reactive oxygen species (ROS) production. A 2022 study (Al-Kafaji et al., PLoS ONE) reported a nominal association between haplogroup U and RRMS in Saudi Arab patients (OR 6.26; 95% CI 0.82–48.10) in a single, small (n = 47) cohort. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine whether this signal is supported by independently verifiable case-control data from other Arab or Near Eastern populations.  Methods: PRISMA 2020 systematic review. PubMed/MEDLINE was searched to 15 July 2026 using a concept-level strategy – (“mitochondrial DNA”[tiab] OR “mtDNA”[tiab] OR “DNA, Mitochondrial”[MeSH] OR “Mitochondria”[MeSH]) AND (“haplogroup”[tiab] OR “haplogroups”[tiab] OR “haplotype”[tiab]) AND (“multiple sclerosis”[tiab] OR “Multiple Sclerosis”[MeSH] OR “demyelinating”[tiab] OR “RRMS”[tiab]) – with no population terms applied at the search stage; population eligibility (Arab or Near Eastern cohort) was assessed during screening rather than baked into the search string, to maximise sensitivity. Eligible studies were case-control studies reporting mitochondrial haplogroup U frequency in MS cases versus healthy controls in an Arab or Near Eastern population, with data sufficient to construct a 2 × 2 table. Odds ratios were pooled using a fixed-effect inverse-variance model.  Results: The search identified 30 records. After screening and full-text assessment, two studies met full inclusion criteria for quantitative pooling: Al-Kafaji et al. [1] (Saudi Arabia, n = 47) and Hassani-Kumleh et al. [2] (Iran, n = 154); total pooled N = 201 (77 MS cases, 124 controls). The fixed-effect pooled OR was 4.11 (95% CI 1.25–13.55; p = 0.020), with no meaningful heterogeneity (I²=0%, Cochran’s Q = 0.25, df = 1). Two further Near Eastern studies (Houshmand et al. [3]; Ghabaee et al. [4]) reported related but non-poolable data – haplogroup J association and a haplogroup U case-series prevalence without a control arm, respectively – and are discussed narratively.  Conclusions: Across two independently verified Near Eastern case-control cohorts, mitochondrial haplogroup U is significantly associated with increased MS risk (pooled OR 4.11, 95% CI 1.25–13.55). The evidence base remains small, and the wide confidence interval reflects this. A larger, prospective, adequately powered study in Arab and Near Eastern MS cohorts is needed to confirm and refine this association.  Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-026-05223-7.
SN  - 1471-2377
ER  -