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Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships

Abstract

Many scientific graphs attach several variables to each node, so a single scalar edge weight cannot describe direction-dependent interactions. We model each edge by a symmetric positive-definite (SPD) matrix and infer a posterior over matrix-valued graph geometries, which we call the Bayesian matrix-valued graph (BMVG). We ask how these interactions reconfigure across contexts: how large the change is and which multivariate directions strengthen or weaken. The geodesic distance induced by the affine-invariant Riemannian metric (AIRM) quantifies deformation magnitude and generalized eigenvalues resolve its signed directions.Against fused graphical lasso, Bayesian multiple-GGM, and common principal components, BMVG is competitive on global precision recovery while retaining identifiable matrix-valued edge structure and accurately recovering edge-level deformation directions. In controlled known-truth experiments, it resolves structural change with increasing sample size, including orientation changes that leave ordinary eigenvalues unchanged. In one year of Bay Area weather data, the geometry of 12-hour change reconfigures spatial coupling about as much as whole seasons differ. In TCGA-BRCA, estrogen-receptor (ER)-associated reconfiguration concentrates on specific gene-module pairs and persists under graph-scaffold sparsification and removal of subgroup mean differences. These results establish posterior matrix-valued edge geometry as a unified framework for quantifying and interpreting context-dependent multivariate reconfiguration.

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BibTeX
@misc{dey2026bayesian,
  title = {{Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships}},
  author = {Papri Dey},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.08055},
  eprint = {2609.08055},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08055},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships
AU  - Papri Dey
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/07
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.08055
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.08055
AB  - Many scientific graphs attach several variables to each node, so a single scalar edge weight cannot describe direction-dependent interactions. We model each edge by a symmetric positive-definite (SPD) matrix and infer a posterior over matrix-valued graph geometries, which we call the Bayesian matrix-valued graph (BMVG). We ask how these interactions reconfigure across contexts: how large the change is and which multivariate directions strengthen or weaken. The geodesic distance induced by the affine-invariant Riemannian metric (AIRM) quantifies deformation magnitude and generalized eigenvalues resolve its signed directions.Against fused graphical lasso, Bayesian multiple-GGM, and common principal components, BMVG is competitive on global precision recovery while retaining identifiable matrix-valued edge structure and accurately recovering edge-level deformation directions. In controlled known-truth experiments, it resolves structural change with increasing sample size, including orientation changes that leave ordinary eigenvalues unchanged. In one year of Bay Area weather data, the geometry of 12-hour change reconfigures spatial coupling about as much as whole seasons differ. In TCGA-BRCA, estrogen-receptor (ER)-associated reconfiguration concentrates on specific gene-module pairs and persists under graph-scaffold sparsification and removal of subgroup mean differences. These results establish posterior matrix-valued edge geometry as a unified framework for quantifying and interpreting context-dependent multivariate reconfiguration.
ER  -