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PreprintCC BY-NC-NDmedRxiv

Performance of protein panels is inflated across many biomarker studies

  1. 1Lund University

Abstract

Data leakage is a prevalent yet underappreciated flaw in biomarker discovery studies. Through simulation and real-world proteomic data, we demonstrate that typical pipelines are broadly susceptible to this issue, producing inflated performance estimates, poor generalization, and excess false positives. We further introduce two tools to detect data leakage at the code and manuscript level, providing a practical path toward more rigorous and reproducible biomarker reporting.

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BibTeX
@misc{an2026performance,
  title = {{Performance of protein panels is inflated across many biomarker studies}},
  author = {L. An and C. A. Finney and A. Shvetcov and The Global Neurodegeneration Proteomics Consortium and J. Vogel},
  howpublished = {medRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.09.02.26362037},
  url = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.02.26362037v1},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Performance of protein panels is inflated across many biomarker studies
AU  - L. An
AU  - C. A. Finney
AU  - A. Shvetcov
AU  - The Global Neurodegeneration Proteomics Consortium
AU  - J. Vogel
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/02
PB  - medRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.09.02.26362037
UR  - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.02.26362037v1
AB  - Data leakage is a prevalent yet underappreciated flaw in biomarker discovery studies. Through simulation and real-world proteomic data, we demonstrate that typical pipelines are broadly susceptible to this issue, producing inflated performance estimates, poor generalization, and excess false positives. We further introduce two tools to detect data leakage at the code and manuscript level, providing a practical path toward more rigorous and reproducible biomarker reporting.
ER  -