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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Mathematics

Regulating All Induced Equilibria: Counterexample-Coupled Incentive–Certificate Synthesis for Financial Stability

4 affiliations
  1. 1Binary Business School, Binary University of Management & Entrepreneurship, Puchong 47100, Malaysia
  2. 2Graduate School of Information, Production and Systems, Waseda University, Kitakyushu 808-0135, Japan
  3. 3School of Intelligent Manufacturing and Electrical Engineering, Xinjiang College of Science & Technology, Korla 841000, China
  4. 4Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan

Abstract

Regulatory instruments alter institutional payoffs, but they do not choose which equilibrium a decentralized financial system will realize. A policy that appears safe at one computed response can therefore coexist with an unobserved fire-sale or funding-run outcome. We pose policy construction as a set-containment requirement: every approximate Nash equilibrium of the regulated game must remain inside a buffered stability target. EquiImplement enforces this requirement with state-dependent mixtures of admissible unilateral deviations over the target complement. When policy features enter payoffs affinely, holding this proof object fixed gives affine inequalities in the regulatory vector and a concave minimum margin, producing a convex semi-infinite policy subproblem. A rigorous regional separator locates the weakest-covered state, and the same verified counterexample drives both the next policy solve and certificate revision. A preset outer-iteration budget gives finite execution and one of three outputs: globally certified containment, budget infeasibility within the prescribed incentive–certificate family, or an unresolved status. The evaluation covers 330 fire-sale and rollover/run games. At the default budget, EquiImplement attains full-stability rates of 95.0%, 85.6%, and 92.5%, while reducing the worst-equilibrium violation from 0.037 for the strongest non-oracle baseline to 0.016. The mean regulatory cost over returned budget-feasible evaluation policies decreases from 0.119 to 0.113. Further analyses relate certification difficulty to stability-target tightness, leverage, market depth, liquidity buffers, and coordination strength. The results show that a deviation-based proof object can serve directly as an optimization interface for financial regulation under equilibrium multiplicity.

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BibTeX
@article{chen2026regulating,
  title = {{Regulating All Induced Equilibria: Counterexample-Coupled Incentive–Certificate Synthesis for Financial Stability}},
  author = {Jinjia Chen and Yulun Chen and Kun Yang and Xingyu Zhou and Yingchao Wang and Feng Xue and Tianfu Li},
  journal = {Mathematics},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3390/math14203835},
  url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/14/20/3835},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Regulating All Induced Equilibria: Counterexample-Coupled Incentive–Certificate Synthesis for Financial Stability
AU  - Jinjia Chen
AU  - Yulun Chen
AU  - Kun Yang
AU  - Xingyu Zhou
AU  - Yingchao Wang
AU  - Feng Xue
AU  - Tianfu Li
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/21
JO  - Mathematics
DO  - 10.3390/math14203835
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/14/20/3835
AB  - Regulatory instruments alter institutional payoffs, but they do not choose which equilibrium a decentralized financial system will realize. A policy that appears safe at one computed response can therefore coexist with an unobserved fire-sale or funding-run outcome. We pose policy construction as a set-containment requirement: every approximate Nash equilibrium of the regulated game must remain inside a buffered stability target. EquiImplement enforces this requirement with state-dependent mixtures of admissible unilateral deviations over the target complement. When policy features enter payoffs affinely, holding this proof object fixed gives affine inequalities in the regulatory vector and a concave minimum margin, producing a convex semi-infinite policy subproblem. A rigorous regional separator locates the weakest-covered state, and the same verified counterexample drives both the next policy solve and certificate revision. A preset outer-iteration budget gives finite execution and one of three outputs: globally certified containment, budget infeasibility within the prescribed incentive–certificate family, or an unresolved status. The evaluation covers 330 fire-sale and rollover/run games. At the default budget, EquiImplement attains full-stability rates of 95.0%, 85.6%, and 92.5%, while reducing the worst-equilibrium violation from 0.037 for the strongest non-oracle baseline to 0.016. The mean regulatory cost over returned budget-feasible evaluation policies decreases from 0.119 to 0.113. Further analyses relate certification difficulty to stability-target tightness, leverage, market depth, liquidity buffers, and coordination strength. The results show that a deviation-based proof object can serve directly as an optimization interface for financial regulation under equilibrium multiplicity.
SN  - 2227-7390
ER  -