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Peer-reviewedCC BYGeocarto International

A remote sensing-based surface thermal stress index for assessing urban heat dynamics in Greater Cairo

5 affiliations
  1. 1Environmental Studies Department, National Authority for Remote Sensing and Space Sciences (NARSS), Cairo, Egypt
  2. 2Geography and Urban Sustainability Department, College of Humanities & Social Sciences, UAE University, Al Ain, UAE
  3. 3Department of Geography, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of N'Djamena, N'Djamena, Chad
  4. 4Department of Geography, Faculty of Art, Menoufia University, Shibin Al Kawm, Egypt
  5. 5Department of Geographic Information Systems, Remote Sensing, and Surveying, Faculty of Humanities, Egyptian Chinese University (ECU), Cairo, Egypt

Abstract

Rapid urban growth has reshaped surface thermal conditions in Greater Cairo. This study applies a Surface Thermal Stress Index (STSI) integrating normalised land surface temperature (LST), NDVI, and NDBI from Landsat 8 annual composites processed in Google Earth Engine for 2015 and 2025. Higher STSI values indicate more favourable surface conditions rather than physiological thermal comfort. Using common spatial support, fixed pooled normalisation bounds, and weights of 0.35/0.30/0.35, mean LST decreased from 33.61 to 31.62 °C, while mean STSI increased from 0.44646 to 0.48248. The lowest score class, defined by a fixed 2015 quintile cutoff, contracted from 20.00% to 5.23% of the area. Alternative-weight maps remained strongly correlated with the baseline (r = 0.984–0.999), although priority-area boundaries varied. Year-matched population overlays, MODIS comparisons, and Landsat land-cover transitions provide demographic, thermal, and land-surface context. STSI offers a reproducible framework for preliminary daytime surface screening alongside component maps and sensitivity results.

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BibTeX
@article{khairy2026remote,
  title = {{A remote sensing-based surface thermal stress index for assessing urban heat dynamics in Greater Cairo}},
  author = {Nesren Khairy and Mona S. Ramadan and Abdallah Bakhit Saleh and Amany A. Elemam and Mayada Abd el kader and Ismail Y. Ismail and Hossam Khedr and Rasha H. Ramadan},
  journal = {Geocarto International},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1080/10106049.2026.2756834},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2026.2756834},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - A remote sensing-based surface thermal stress index for assessing urban heat dynamics in Greater Cairo
AU  - Nesren Khairy
AU  - Mona S. Ramadan
AU  - Abdallah Bakhit Saleh
AU  - Amany A. Elemam
AU  - Mayada Abd el kader
AU  - Ismail Y. Ismail
AU  - Hossam Khedr
AU  - Rasha H. Ramadan
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/31
JO  - Geocarto International
DO  - 10.1080/10106049.2026.2756834
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2026.2756834
AB  - Rapid urban growth has reshaped surface thermal conditions in Greater Cairo. This study applies a Surface Thermal Stress Index (STSI) integrating normalised land surface temperature (LST), NDVI, and NDBI from Landsat 8 annual composites processed in Google Earth Engine for 2015 and 2025. Higher STSI values indicate more favourable surface conditions rather than physiological thermal comfort. Using common spatial support, fixed pooled normalisation bounds, and weights of 0.35/0.30/0.35, mean LST decreased from 33.61 to 31.62 °C, while mean STSI increased from 0.44646 to 0.48248. The lowest score class, defined by a fixed 2015 quintile cutoff, contracted from 20.00% to 5.23% of the area. Alternative-weight maps remained strongly correlated with the baseline (r = 0.984–0.999), although priority-area boundaries varied. Year-matched population overlays, MODIS comparisons, and Landsat land-cover transitions provide demographic, thermal, and land-surface context. STSI offers a reproducible framework for preliminary daytime surface screening alongside component maps and sensitivity results.
SN  - 1752-0762
SN  - 1010-6049
ER  -