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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process

Abstract

Active Inference (AIF) frames adaptive behavior as the minimization of expected free energy (EFE), combining epistemic and pragmatic objectives within a single variational principle. We frame AIF as policy optimization and show that, for closed-loop control policies, EFE minimization can be formulated as a convex Markov decision process (MDP). This perspective reveals that policy-dependent reward prediction errors transmit natural gradients of the expected free energy backwards in time rather than up a hierarchy. Finally, we show that coupling world-model learning with policy optimization gives active inference the structure of performative reinforcement learning. Together this places EFE minimization within modern reinforcement learning and optimization theory and opens a route toward principled algorithms for active inference.

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BibTeX
@misc{milosevic2026active,
  title = {{Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process}},
  author = {Nikola Milosevic and Nicolás Hinrichs and Nico Scherf},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2607.20152},
  eprint = {2607.20152},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.20152},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process
AU  - Nikola Milosevic
AU  - Nicolás Hinrichs
AU  - Nico Scherf
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/13
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2607.20152
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.20152
AB  - Active Inference (AIF) frames adaptive behavior as the minimization of expected free energy (EFE), combining epistemic and pragmatic objectives within a single variational principle. We frame AIF as policy optimization and show that, for closed-loop control policies, EFE minimization can be formulated as a convex Markov decision process (MDP). This perspective reveals that policy-dependent reward prediction errors transmit natural gradients of the expected free energy backwards in time rather than up a hierarchy. Finally, we show that coupling world-model learning with policy optimization gives active inference the structure of performative reinforcement learning. Together this places EFE minimization within modern reinforcement learning and optimization theory and opens a route toward principled algorithms for active inference.
ER  -