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PreprintCC BY-NC-NDbioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)

Mass mortality of southern elephant seals during multi-species outbreak of HPAI H5N1 on sub-Antarctic Heard Island

9 more authors
9 affiliations
  1. 1Australian Antarctic Division, Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Kingston, Tasmania 7050, Australia
  2. 2Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Battery Point, Hobart 7004, Australia
  3. 3Center for Wildlife Studies, Camden, ME 04843 USA
  4. 4School of Infectious Diseases and Global Health, Tufts University’s Cummings School of Veterinary Medicine North Grafton, MA, 01536, USA
  5. 5IMOS Animal Tagging, Sydney Institute of Marine Science, 19 Chowder Bay Road, Mosman, 2088, New South Wales, Australia
  6. 6Australian Centre for Disease Preparedness, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Geelong, VIC 3220, Australia
  7. 7Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE), CNRS, Université Montpellier, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France
  8. 8ANSES, Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort Laboratory, National Reference Laboratory for Avian Influenza, Unité de virologie, Immunologie, Parasitologie, Aviaires et Cunicoles, Ploufragan, France
  9. 9Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium

Abstract

High pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) has spread across the sub-Antarctic, causing significant wildlife impacts. We report its first detection in an Australian external territory, Heard Island and McDonald Islands, which supports over one million breeding seabirds and seals. Drone and ground surveys (October 2025, January 2026), combined with viral genome analysis, confirmed infection with Influenza A H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b at Heard Island. Drone surveys revealed mass mortality in southern elephant seals, with 8,573 pups (62%) recorded dead across Heard Island by the final surveys. Mortality increased at an average rate of 5.6% per day in a subset of harems, and the highest observed mortality in a harem was 97%. Based on the average (76%) mortality in the final surveys, total estimated pup mortality at Heard Island was 13,359 (from a total population of 17,364 pups), though this may be an underestimate as mortality was ongoing at this time. HPAI was detected in six of nine species tested and, we suspect, led to elevated mortality in king and gentoo penguins. Phylogenetic analysis indicates the virus was introduced from Crozet Islands, with an estimated arrival around August 2025. These data show the continued easterly spread of HPAI around the sub-Antarctic, with severe but heterogeneous impacts across taxa. Our results demonstrate the value of drones for large-scale monitoring, underscoring the need for continued and enhanced HPAI surveillance across the Southern Ocean.

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BibTeX
@misc{mcinnes2026mass,
  title = {{Mass mortality of southern elephant seals during multi-species outbreak of HPAI H5N1 on sub-Antarctic Heard Island}},
  author = {Julie C. McInnes and Tristan L. Burgess and Georgia Mergard and Melanie R. Wells and Clive R. McMahon and Matthew J. Neave and Andrea Maree Polanowski and Aleks Terauds and J Tornos and Mathilde Lejeune and François‐Xavier Briand and Guy Baele and Thierry Boulinier and Helen Achurch and Rachael L. Alderman and Anna Lashko and Barbara C. Wienecke and Louise P. Wynen and Benjamin M. Viola and Patti Virtue and Jarrod C. Hodgson},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)},
  year = {2026},
  month = jun,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.06.16.732752},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.16.732752},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Mass mortality of southern elephant seals during multi-species outbreak of HPAI H5N1 on sub-Antarctic Heard Island
AU  - Julie C. McInnes
AU  - Tristan L. Burgess
AU  - Georgia Mergard
AU  - Melanie R. Wells
AU  - Clive R. McMahon
AU  - Matthew J. Neave
AU  - Andrea Maree Polanowski
AU  - Aleks Terauds
AU  - J Tornos
AU  - Mathilde Lejeune
AU  - François‐Xavier Briand
AU  - Guy Baele
AU  - Thierry Boulinier
AU  - Helen Achurch
AU  - Rachael L. Alderman
AU  - Anna Lashko
AU  - Barbara C. Wienecke
AU  - Louise P. Wynen
AU  - Benjamin M. Viola
AU  - Patti Virtue
AU  - Jarrod C. Hodgson
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/06/17
PB  - bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
DO  - 10.64898/2026.06.16.732752
UR  - https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.06.16.732752
AB  - High pathogenicity avian influenza (HPAI) has spread across the sub-Antarctic, causing significant wildlife impacts. We report its first detection in an Australian external territory, Heard Island and McDonald Islands, which supports over one million breeding seabirds and seals. Drone and ground surveys (October 2025, January 2026), combined with viral genome analysis, confirmed infection with Influenza A H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b at Heard Island. Drone surveys revealed mass mortality in southern elephant seals, with 8,573 pups (62%) recorded dead across Heard Island by the final surveys. Mortality increased at an average rate of 5.6% per day in a subset of harems, and the highest observed mortality in a harem was 97%. Based on the average (76%) mortality in the final surveys, total estimated pup mortality at Heard Island was 13,359 (from a total population of 17,364 pups), though this may be an underestimate as mortality was ongoing at this time. HPAI was detected in six of nine species tested and, we suspect, led to elevated mortality in king and gentoo penguins. Phylogenetic analysis indicates the virus was introduced from Crozet Islands, with an estimated arrival around August 2025. These data show the continued easterly spread of HPAI around the sub-Antarctic, with severe but heterogeneous impacts across taxa. Our results demonstrate the value of drones for large-scale monitoring, underscoring the need for continued and enhanced HPAI surveillance across the Southern Ocean.
ER  -