Thyroid Cancer Incidence in North-East Spain, 2002-2021: A Population-Based Study.
13 affiliations
- 1Department of Endocrinology and Nutrition, Hospital Universitari de Girona Dr. Josep Trueta, 17007 Girona, Spain.
- 2Medical Oncology Department, Hospital Clínic de Barcelona, 08036 Barcelona, Spain.
- 3Translational Genomics and Targeted Therapies in Solid Tumours Group, Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), 08036 Barcelona, Spain.
- 4Facultat de Medicina i Ciències de la Salut, Universitat de Barcelona (UB), 08036 Barcelona, Spain.
- 5Integrated Cancer Registries Service (SIRC), Catalan Institute of Oncology, 17007 Girona, Spain.
- 6Research Group on Descriptive Epidemiology, Genetics and Cancer Prevention, Girona Biomedical Research Institute Dr. Josep Trueta (IDIBGI-CERCA), 17190 Salt, Spain.
- 7Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, 17003 Girona, Spain.
- 8Josep Carreras Leukaemia Research Institute, 17004 Girona, Spain.
- 9Department of Computer Science, Applied Mathematics and Statistics, University of Girona, 17004 Girona, Spain.
- 10Medical Science Department, Faculty of Medicine, University of Girona, 17004 Girona, Spain.
- 11Nutrition, Eumetabolism and Health Group, Institut d'Investigació Biomèdica de Girona (IDIBGI-CERCA), 17190 Girona, Spain.
- 12CIBER Fisiopatología de la Obesidad y Nutrición, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, 28029 Madrid, Spain.
- 13Medical Oncology Departament, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Hospital Universitari Josep Trueta, 17007 Girona, Spain.
Abstract
Background/Objectives: The incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased worldwide over recent decades, particularly for well-differentiated histological subtypes, a trend largely attributed to overdiagnosis. Given potential geographical differences, this study analyzed TC incidence and temporal trends in the province of Girona, Spain, between 2002 and 2021. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the Girona Cancer Registry. Crude incidence rates (CRs), age-standardized incidence rates using the 2013 European (ASRe) and the 1960 World (ASRw) standard populations were calculated per 100,000 person-years. Temporal trends were assessed via the annual percentage change (APC) using generalized linear models. Results: A total of 998 incident TC cases were identified. Most patients were women (78.0%), with a median age at diagnosis of 48 years. Papillary TC was the predominant histological subtype (81.7%), and 70.6% of cases were diagnosed at Stage I. The overall ASRe was 6.8 and ASRw was 5.5, with incidence rates 3-4 times higher in women than in men. Overall, TC incidence increased significantly (APC: 2.7%), driven by increases in the 35-44 and ≥55 age groups, papillary histology, and early-stage disease (Stages I-II). Conclusions: The rise in TC incidence in Girona over the last two decades has been largely driven by Stage I papillary tumors, in both sexes, supporting a potentially substantial contribution of overdiagnosis. However, the concurrent increase in Stage II disease warrants continued surveillance, as it may reflect additional risk factors.
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BibTeX
@article{ayalaconte2026thyroid,
title = {{Thyroid Cancer Incidence in North-East Spain, 2002-2021: A Population-Based Study.}},
author = {Maria Ayala-Conte and Neus Basté and Jan Trallero and Arantza Sanvisens and Montse Puigdemont and Anna Vidal and Aina Romaguera and Wali Guan and Mercè Fernández-Balsells and Rafael Marcos-Gragera and Jordi Rubió-Casadevall and Josefina Biarnés},
journal = {Cancers},
year = {2026},
month = sep,
doi = {10.3390/cancers18193146},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42882840},
note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Thyroid Cancer Incidence in North-East Spain, 2002-2021: A Population-Based Study.
AU - Maria Ayala-Conte
AU - Neus Basté
AU - Jan Trallero
AU - Arantza Sanvisens
AU - Montse Puigdemont
AU - Anna Vidal
AU - Aina Romaguera
AU - Wali Guan
AU - Mercè Fernández-Balsells
AU - Rafael Marcos-Gragera
AU - Jordi Rubió-Casadevall
AU - Josefina Biarnés
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/09/29
JO - Cancers
DO - 10.3390/cancers18193146
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42882840
AB - Background/Objectives: The incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased worldwide over recent decades, particularly for well-differentiated histological subtypes, a trend largely attributed to overdiagnosis. Given potential geographical differences, this study analyzed TC incidence and temporal trends in the province of Girona, Spain, between 2002 and 2021. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the Girona Cancer Registry. Crude incidence rates (CRs), age-standardized incidence rates using the 2013 European (ASRe) and the 1960 World (ASRw) standard populations were calculated per 100,000 person-years. Temporal trends were assessed via the annual percentage change (APC) using generalized linear models. Results: A total of 998 incident TC cases were identified. Most patients were women (78.0%), with a median age at diagnosis of 48 years. Papillary TC was the predominant histological subtype (81.7%), and 70.6% of cases were diagnosed at Stage I. The overall ASRe was 6.8 and ASRw was 5.5, with incidence rates 3-4 times higher in women than in men. Overall, TC incidence increased significantly (APC: 2.7%), driven by increases in the 35-44 and ≥55 age groups, papillary histology, and early-stage disease (Stages I-II). Conclusions: The rise in TC incidence in Girona over the last two decades has been largely driven by Stage I papillary tumors, in both sexes, supporting a potentially substantial contribution of overdiagnosis. However, the concurrent increase in Stage II disease warrants continued surveillance, as it may reflect additional risk factors.
SN - 2072-6694
ER -