Garadacimab in Hereditary Angioedema: Modeling Suggests Sustained Improvements in Attack-Free Probability and Quality of Life Over 5 Years.
11 affiliations
- 1Division of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
- 2Section of Rheumatology, Allergy & Immunology, Department of Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
- 3University Hospital Frankfurt, Department for Children and Adolescents, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
- 4AARA Research Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.
- 5Midwest Immunology Clinic, Plymouth, Minnesota, USA.
- 6CSL Innovation GmbH, Marburg, Germany.
- 7CSL Behring, King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, USA.
- 8CSL Behring AG, Bern, Switzerland.
- 9CSL Vifor Pharma Management Ltd., Zurich, Switzerland.
- 10Charité - University Medical Center Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin and Humboldt-Universität Zu Berlin, Institute of Allergology, Berlin, Germany.
- 11Immunology and Allergology, Fraunhofer Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacology ITMP, Berlin, Germany.
Abstract
Hereditary angioedema (HAE) attacks are recurrent, debilitating, and potentially life-threatening. Across the clinical program, garadacimab long-term prophylaxis demonstrated early onset and durable, sustained protection against HAE attacks and clinically meaningful improvements in health-related quality of life (HRQoL). HAE treatment goals include total disease control (attack-free) and normalization of life. Predicting treatment effect may aid shared decision-making and choice of long-term prophylaxis. Here, we report an attack-free probability model predicting garadacimab treatment effect beyond available Phase 3 clinical data and explore the relationship between HRQoL and attack-free duration. A generalized mixed-effect Poisson model was developed and validated with data from the garadacimab pivotal Phase 3 (VANGUARD) and Phase 3 open-label extension studies. Efficacy variables, including attack-free probabilities, were predicted for simulated populations of garadacimab-treated patients and assessed for goodness of fit. Analysis of covariance was used to assess the relationship between Angioedema Quality of Life questionnaire scores and attack-free duration. Model-predicted efficacy variables adequately reflected observed clinical data with high goodness of fit (Nakagawa-Schielzeth conditional R²: 74.3%). Following a 1-month attack-free period after garadacimab initiation, patients had a 60% cumulative probability of remaining attack-free up to Month 25 and 49% up to 5 years. HRQoL improved with increasing duration of attack-free periods, reaching minimal to no impairment after 6 months. This attack-free probability model suggests long-term effects of garadacimab over a 5-year treatment period. Patients treated with garadacimab have the potential to live attack-free for long periods of time, with substantial HRQoL improvements.
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BibTeX
@article{li2026garadacimab,
title = {{Garadacimab in Hereditary Angioedema: Modeling Suggests Sustained Improvements in Attack-Free Probability and Quality of Life Over 5 Years.}},
author = {Philip H Li and F Ida Hsu and Emel Aygören-Pürsün and William R Lumry and Jason Raasch and Ingo Pragst and Yinglei Li and Chiara Nenci and Marco Campioni and Markus Magerl},
journal = {Clinical and translational science},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.1111/cts.70737},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42852816},
note = {CC BY-NC},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Garadacimab in Hereditary Angioedema: Modeling Suggests Sustained Improvements in Attack-Free Probability and Quality of Life Over 5 Years.
AU - Philip H Li
AU - F Ida Hsu
AU - Emel Aygören-Pürsün
AU - William R Lumry
AU - Jason Raasch
AU - Ingo Pragst
AU - Yinglei Li
AU - Chiara Nenci
AU - Marco Campioni
AU - Markus Magerl
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/01
JO - Clinical and translational science
DO - 10.1111/cts.70737
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42852816
AB - Hereditary angioedema (HAE) attacks are recurrent, debilitating, and potentially life-threatening. Across the clinical program, garadacimab long-term prophylaxis demonstrated early onset and durable, sustained protection against HAE attacks and clinically meaningful improvements in health-related quality of life (HRQoL). HAE treatment goals include total disease control (attack-free) and normalization of life. Predicting treatment effect may aid shared decision-making and choice of long-term prophylaxis. Here, we report an attack-free probability model predicting garadacimab treatment effect beyond available Phase 3 clinical data and explore the relationship between HRQoL and attack-free duration. A generalized mixed-effect Poisson model was developed and validated with data from the garadacimab pivotal Phase 3 (VANGUARD) and Phase 3 open-label extension studies. Efficacy variables, including attack-free probabilities, were predicted for simulated populations of garadacimab-treated patients and assessed for goodness of fit. Analysis of covariance was used to assess the relationship between Angioedema Quality of Life questionnaire scores and attack-free duration. Model-predicted efficacy variables adequately reflected observed clinical data with high goodness of fit (Nakagawa-Schielzeth conditional R²: 74.3%). Following a 1-month attack-free period after garadacimab initiation, patients had a 60% cumulative probability of remaining attack-free up to Month 25 and 49% up to 5 years. HRQoL improved with increasing duration of attack-free periods, reaching minimal to no impairment after 6 months. This attack-free probability model suggests long-term effects of garadacimab over a 5-year treatment period. Patients treated with garadacimab have the potential to live attack-free for long periods of time, with substantial HRQoL improvements.
SN - 1752-8054
SN - 1752-8062
ER -