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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Polynomial point counts for moduli spaces of curves with marked points

Abstract

We prove that the number of curves of a fixed genus g with n marked points over finite fields is a polynomial function of the cardinality of the field if and only if g = 0 or 3g + 2n is less than or equal to 24. This confirms a conjecture of Canning, Larson, and the authors.

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BibTeX
@misc{payne2026polynomial,
  title = {{Polynomial point counts for moduli spaces of curves with marked points}},
  author = {Sam Payne and Thomas Willwacher},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.06264},
  eprint = {2609.06264},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.06264},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Polynomial point counts for moduli spaces of curves with marked points
AU  - Sam Payne
AU  - Thomas Willwacher
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/19
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.06264
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.06264
AB  - We prove that the number of curves of a fixed genus g with n marked points over finite fields is a polynomial function of the cardinality of the field if and only if g = 0 or 3g + 2n is less than or equal to 24. This confirms a conjecture of Canning, Larson, and the authors.
ER  -