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Peer-reviewedCC BYScientific Reports

Expectation management in humans and LLMs

  1. 1The Gonda Multidisciplinary Brain Research Center, Bar-Ilan University

Abstract

Mirative markers, such as “surprisingly”, explicitly encode a violation of expectations. Such markers are used for expectation management during communication. Sensitivity to mirative markers relies on two abilities: (i) updating expectations upon recognizing a mirative marker, and (ii) identifying expectation violations warranting the use of a mirative marker. In this study, we compared sensitivity to mirative markers in humans and large language models (LLMs). In part 1, we used a sentence-completion task, where humans and LLMs were presented with sentence fragments and asked to continue them. Results show that for both humans and LLMs, the presence of a mirative marker significantly increased response entropy and decreased top-response probability, in line with theoretical accounts of mirative processing. In part 2, we created a novel task, mirative polarity selection, where humans and LLMs are presented with a sentence pair and asked to select whether it was connected by a mirative marker (“surprisingly”) or an anti-mirative marker (“unsurprisingly”). Results show that some LLMs perform at a human-equivalent level. We conclude that both humans and LLMs use mirative markers as cues for calibrating their subsequent expectations during sentence processing.

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BibTeX
@article{menashe2026expectation,
  title = {{Expectation management in humans and LLMs}},
  author = {Benjamin Menashe and Austin Drake and Michal Ben-Shachar},
  journal = {Scientific Reports},
  year = {2026},
  month = jul,
  doi = {10.1038/s41598-026-62526-y},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-62526-y},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Expectation management in humans and LLMs
AU  - Benjamin Menashe
AU  - Austin Drake
AU  - Michal Ben-Shachar
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/07/01
JO  - Scientific Reports
DO  - 10.1038/s41598-026-62526-y
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-62526-y
AB  - Mirative markers, such as “surprisingly”, explicitly encode a violation of expectations. Such markers are used for expectation management during communication. Sensitivity to mirative markers relies on two abilities: (i) updating expectations upon recognizing a mirative marker, and (ii) identifying expectation violations warranting the use of a mirative marker. In this study, we compared sensitivity to mirative markers in humans and large language models (LLMs). In part 1, we used a sentence-completion task, where humans and LLMs were presented with sentence fragments and asked to continue them. Results show that for both humans and LLMs, the presence of a mirative marker significantly increased response entropy and decreased top-response probability, in line with theoretical accounts of mirative processing. In part 2, we created a novel task, mirative polarity selection, where humans and LLMs are presented with a sentence pair and asked to select whether it was connected by a mirative marker (“surprisingly”) or an anti-mirative marker (“unsurprisingly”). Results show that some LLMs perform at a human-equivalent level. We conclude that both humans and LLMs use mirative markers as cues for calibrating their subsequent expectations during sentence processing.
SN  - 2045-2322
ER  -