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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Q-PhotoMarket: A Design Space Exploration Framework for Photonic Hybrid Quantum Neural Networks in Financial Market Prediction

Abstract

Photonic quantum computing has recently emerged as a promising platform for hybrid quantum machine learning due to its native realization of linear-optical circuits and the computational complexity of boson sampling. However, despite growing interest in quantum methods for finance, the influence of photonic circuit design choices on predictive performance remains largely unexplored. Existing studies typically evaluate a single architecture, leaving the broader photonic design space unexamined. In this work, we present Q-PhotoMarket, a systematic design space exploration (DSE) framework for photonic hybrid quantum neural networks (HQNNs) applied to financial market prediction. We explore over 5,000 valid photonic configurations spanning input photon states, circuit architectures, entangling models, and measurement strategies across their compatible computation spaces, for U.S., Indian, and cryptocurrency markets. To improve search efficiency, the exhaustive exploration is complemented with Bayesian optimization. We further incorporate threshold calibration and prediction-collapse diagnostics to enable reliable evaluation under increasingly imbalanced return thresholds. Experimental results show that systematic exploration of more than 5,000 photonic HQNN configurations reveals consistent architectural patterns across financial markets, identifies robust high-performing designs, and demonstrates competitive performance relative to classical machine learning baselines.

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BibTeX
@misc{marchisio2026qphotomarket,
  title = {{Q-PhotoMarket: A Design Space Exploration Framework for Photonic Hybrid Quantum Neural Networks in Financial Market Prediction}},
  author = {Alberto Marchisio and Hanzalah Mohamed Siraj and Muhammad Kashif and Nouhaila Innan and Muhammad Shafique},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.09641},
  eprint = {2610.09641},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09641},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Q-PhotoMarket: A Design Space Exploration Framework for Photonic Hybrid Quantum Neural Networks in Financial Market Prediction
AU  - Alberto Marchisio
AU  - Hanzalah Mohamed Siraj
AU  - Muhammad Kashif
AU  - Nouhaila Innan
AU  - Muhammad Shafique
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/07
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.09641
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09641
AB  - Photonic quantum computing has recently emerged as a promising platform for hybrid quantum machine learning due to its native realization of linear-optical circuits and the computational complexity of boson sampling. However, despite growing interest in quantum methods for finance, the influence of photonic circuit design choices on predictive performance remains largely unexplored. Existing studies typically evaluate a single architecture, leaving the broader photonic design space unexamined. In this work, we present Q-PhotoMarket, a systematic design space exploration (DSE) framework for photonic hybrid quantum neural networks (HQNNs) applied to financial market prediction. We explore over 5,000 valid photonic configurations spanning input photon states, circuit architectures, entangling models, and measurement strategies across their compatible computation spaces, for U.S., Indian, and cryptocurrency markets. To improve search efficiency, the exhaustive exploration is complemented with Bayesian optimization. We further incorporate threshold calibration and prediction-collapse diagnostics to enable reliable evaluation under increasingly imbalanced return thresholds. Experimental results show that systematic exploration of more than 5,000 photonic HQNN configurations reveals consistent architectural patterns across financial markets, identifies robust high-performing designs, and demonstrates competitive performance relative to classical machine learning baselines.
ER  -