Skip to content
DraconiticResearch
Search Sources API
190,335 studies31 sourcesUpdated 8 min ago
PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

The Probabilistic Structure of Large Language Models

Abstract

This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on large language models (LLMs), developed with the aim of bringing together, in a single self-contained account, tools that are usually treated separately across the literature. LLMs are described through probability measures on the set of sequences of tokens, specified via their autoregressive conditional distributions. Training is formulated as a maximum-likelihood estimation problem, addressed by stochastic gradient methods, while text generation is viewed as the sequential simulation of the resulting stochastic process. The role of the asymmetry of the Kullback--Leibler divergence in text generation is examined in relation with characteristic phenomena such as hallucination and the distinction between statistical plausibility and truth. As a complementary illustration of the same viewpoint, we also discuss diffusion models, built around the score function, which cast generation not as sequential token prediction but as the simulation of a reverse-time stochastic process transforming noise into data both in discrete and continuous time.

Related

  1. Probabilistic large deviations approach to obstacle Hamilton-Jacobi equations
    Anouar Jeddi
    arXivPreprintarXiv licenceFull textProbabilityarXiv
  2. The Markov Accessibility Topology and its Probabilistic Structure
    Lourival Lima, Jorge Vielma
    arXivPreprintCC BY 4.0Full textProbabilityarXiv
  3. Probabilistic linkage with graphs: leveraging cluster structure to improve the accuracy of entity resolution at scale
    Evelyn Lauren, Laura White, Trevor Graham Bell +1
    arXivPreprintarXiv licenceFull textStatisticsarXiv
  4. A Distributional Framework for Behavioral Characterization and Risk Management of Large Language Models
    David García-Lorite, Raul Merino
    arXivPreprintarXiv licenceFull textStatisticsarXiv
  5. Sequential Functional Structured Tucker Compression for Large Language Model Attentions
    Jiangfeng Chen, Xinyu Wang, Tianshuo Yan +4
    arXivPreprintCC BY 4.0Full textStatisticsarXiv
BibTeX
@misc{aboulalaa2026probabilistic,
  title = {{The Probabilistic Structure of Large Language Models}},
  author = {Adnan Aboulalaâ},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.25134},
  eprint = {2609.25134},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.25134},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - The Probabilistic Structure of Large Language Models
AU  - Adnan Aboulalaâ
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/20
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.25134
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.25134
AB  - This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on large language models (LLMs), developed with the aim of bringing together, in a single self-contained account, tools that are usually treated separately across the literature. LLMs are described through probability measures on the set of sequences of tokens, specified via their autoregressive conditional distributions. Training is formulated as a maximum-likelihood estimation problem, addressed by stochastic gradient methods, while text generation is viewed as the sequential simulation of the resulting stochastic process. The role of the asymmetry of the Kullback--Leibler divergence in text generation is examined in relation with characteristic phenomena such as hallucination and the distinction between statistical plausibility and truth. As a complementary illustration of the same viewpoint, we also discuss diffusion models, built around the score function, which cast generation not as sequential token prediction but as the simulation of a reverse-time stochastic process transforming noise into data both in discrete and continuous time.
ER  -