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Peer-reviewedCC BYInternational journal of endocrinology

Type 1 Diabetes and Breast Cancer Risk: Evidence From an Updated Meta-Analysis and Mendelian Randomization Study.

4 affiliations
  1. 1Medical Education Center of Jinan University Jinan University Guangzhou China jnu.edu.cn.
  2. 2Department of Breast Jiangmen Central Hospital Jiangmen China bjch.com.
  3. 3Department of Thyroid and Breast Surgery Guangzhou First People's Hospital Guangzhou China gzhosp.cn.
  4. 4School of Medicine South China University of Technology Guangzhou China scut.edu.cn.

Abstract

It remains uncertain whether Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is linked to the risk of breast cancer (BC), with previous epidemiological findings yielding inconsistent conclusions. This study combined evidence from observational research through meta-analysis and used a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to assess whether T1D contributes causally to BC risk. A total of five eligible articles encompassing nine cohort studies were included in the meta-analysis. Genetic variants with strong associations to T1D were sourced from the IEU Open GWAS database (GWAS ID: ebi-a-GCST90018925). Summary-level data for BC and its estrogen receptor (ER) subtypes were obtained from the FinnGen consortium (release R12). The pooled meta-analysis showed a statistically significant inverse association between T1D and BC risk (pooled relative effect estimate = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85-0.98, p = 0.01). MR analyses provided evidence consistent with an inverse association between genetically predicted T1D and overall BC risk (IVW HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.92-1.00, p = 0.033), with a similar inverse association observed for ER-positive BC (IVW HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99, p = 0.013), whereas no statistically significant association was observed for ER-negative BC. Sensitivity analyses indicated stable effect estimates despite evidence of horizontal pleiotropy detected by MR-PRESSO, while the MR-Egger intercept showed no evidence of directional pleiotropy. The combined observational and genetic evidence is consistent with a possible inverse association between T1D and BC risk, particularly for ER-positive disease, whereas no significant association was observed for ER-negative BC. Further studies are warranted to confirm these findings and clarify the underlying mechanisms.

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BibTeX
@article{xie2026type,
  title = {{Type 1 Diabetes and Breast Cancer Risk: Evidence From an Updated Meta-Analysis and Mendelian Randomization Study.}},
  author = {Yi Xie and Qimou Lin and Jianhua Guan and Junda Li and Lin Yuan and Junhong Wen and Bo Xu},
  journal = {International journal of endocrinology},
  year = {2026},
  month = nov,
  doi = {10.1155/ije/2837214},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42996517},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Type 1 Diabetes and Breast Cancer Risk: Evidence From an Updated Meta-Analysis and Mendelian Randomization Study.
AU  - Yi Xie
AU  - Qimou Lin
AU  - Jianhua Guan
AU  - Junda Li
AU  - Lin Yuan
AU  - Junhong Wen
AU  - Bo Xu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/11/05
JO  - International journal of endocrinology
DO  - 10.1155/ije/2837214
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42996517
AB  - It remains uncertain whether Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is linked to the risk of breast cancer (BC), with previous epidemiological findings yielding inconsistent conclusions. This study combined evidence from observational research through meta-analysis and used a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to assess whether T1D contributes causally to BC risk. A total of five eligible articles encompassing nine cohort studies were included in the meta-analysis. Genetic variants with strong associations to T1D were sourced from the IEU Open GWAS database (GWAS ID: ebi-a-GCST90018925). Summary-level data for BC and its estrogen receptor (ER) subtypes were obtained from the FinnGen consortium (release R12). The pooled meta-analysis showed a statistically significant inverse association between T1D and BC risk (pooled relative effect estimate = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85-0.98, p = 0.01). MR analyses provided evidence consistent with an inverse association between genetically predicted T1D and overall BC risk (IVW HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.92-1.00, p = 0.033), with a similar inverse association observed for ER-positive BC (IVW HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99, p = 0.013), whereas no statistically significant association was observed for ER-negative BC. Sensitivity analyses indicated stable effect estimates despite evidence of horizontal pleiotropy detected by MR-PRESSO, while the MR-Egger intercept showed no evidence of directional pleiotropy. The combined observational and genetic evidence is consistent with a possible inverse association between T1D and BC risk, particularly for ER-positive disease, whereas no significant association was observed for ER-negative BC. Further studies are warranted to confirm these findings and clarify the underlying mechanisms.
SN  - 1687-8337
SN  - 1687-8345
ER  -