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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

Blinded Evaluation of Oceanic Sound Source Locations via Sequential Bound Estimation

Abstract

A non-linear, non-Bayesian method called sequential bound estimation (SBE) derived 100% confidence intervals of location (CIL) for 219 explosions in the ocean from measurements of their time differences of arrivals among five widely-spaced time-unsynchronized receivers on the ocean bottom. The explosion's locations were measured with the global positioning system. A blind evaluation revealed all 219 explosions were within their CIL. The probability this could happen by chance is 4 × 10−116. The explosions were detonated in shallow water on the eastern continental shelf of the U.S. over the so-called New England Mud Patch.

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BibTeX
@misc{spiesberger2026blinded,
  title = {{Blinded Evaluation of Oceanic Sound Source Locations via Sequential Bound Estimation}},
  author = {John L. Spiesberger and Julien Bonnel},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.22920},
  eprint = {2609.22920},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.22920},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Blinded Evaluation of Oceanic Sound Source Locations via Sequential Bound Estimation
AU  - John L. Spiesberger
AU  - Julien Bonnel
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/19
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.22920
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.22920
AB  - A non-linear, non-Bayesian method called sequential bound estimation (SBE) derived 100% confidence intervals of location (CIL) for 219 explosions in the ocean from measurements of their time differences of arrivals among five widely-spaced time-unsynchronized receivers on the ocean bottom. The explosion's locations were measured with the global positioning system. A blind evaluation revealed all 219 explosions were within their CIL. The probability this could happen by chance is 4 × 10^−116. The explosions were detonated in shallow water on the eastern continental shelf of the U.S. over the so-called New England Mud Patch.
ER  -