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PreprintCC BY 4.0Zenodo

A falsifiable framework for retrospective neuro-type (ADHD/ASD/AuDHD) attribution in historical figures: a Registered Report Stage 1 protocol

  • Xin Xu1
  1. 1Polytechnic Institute, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
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Abstract

Stage 1 Registered Report protocol for a six-dimensional, behavioral-operationalized framework that assigns posterior probabilities of ADHD, ASD, AuDHD, ND-other, or NT to historical figures from public biographical evidence, explicitly constrained by era-specific prevalence and diagnostic anachronism. The protocol pre-registers inclusion/exclusion rules, a control group (dissenters, persons with intellectual disability and other psychiatric diagnoses), coding rubrics, the Bayesian prior structure, and the human inter-rater reliability gate (Fleiss kappa). It distinguishes most-plausible attribution from diagnosis (Goldwater Rule), and sets stopping/abandonment rules if reliability falls below threshold. Target: AMPPS / Collabra: Psychology / Behavior Research Methods. Pre-registration is timestamped before any human coding or Stage 2 analysis.

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Cite

BibTeXRIS
BibTeX
@misc{xu2026falsifiable,
  title = {{A falsifiable framework for retrospective neuro-type (ADHD/ASD/AuDHD) attribution in historical figures: a Registered Report Stage 1 protocol}},
  author = {Xin Xu},
  howpublished = {Zenodo},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23586703},
  url = {https://zenodo.org/records/23586703},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - A falsifiable framework for retrospective neuro-type (ADHD/ASD/AuDHD) attribution in historical figures: a Registered Report Stage 1 protocol
AU  - Xin Xu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/24
PB  - Zenodo
DO  - 10.5281/zenodo.23586703
UR  - https://zenodo.org/records/23586703
AB  - Stage 1 Registered Report protocol for a six-dimensional, behavioral-operationalized framework that assigns posterior probabilities of ADHD, ASD, AuDHD, ND-other, or NT to historical figures from public biographical evidence, explicitly constrained by era-specific prevalence and diagnostic anachronism. The protocol pre-registers inclusion/exclusion rules, a control group (dissenters, persons with intellectual disability and other psychiatric diagnoses), coding rubrics, the Bayesian prior structure, and the human inter-rater reliability gate (Fleiss kappa). It distinguishes most-plausible attribution from diagnosis (Goldwater Rule), and sets stopping/abandonment rules if reliability falls below threshold. Target: AMPPS / Collabra: Psychology / Behavior Research Methods. Pre-registration is timestamped before any human coding or Stage 2 analysis.
ER  -