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Peer-reviewedCC BYMedicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)

Preoperative Prediction of Difficult Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy: Evolution, Validation, and Emerging Machine-Learning Approaches-A Scoping Review.

  1. 1Faculty of Medicine, George Emil Palade University of Medicine, Pharmacy, Sciences and Technology of Târgu Mureș, 540139 Targu Mures, Romania.
  2. 2General Surgery Clinic No. 1, County Emergency Clinical Hospital of Târgu-Mureș, 540136 Targu Mures, Romania.

Abstract

Background and Objectives: Preoperative prediction of difficult laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) has expanded from point-based scores to regression, nomogram, machine-learning, and quantitative imaging approaches. We examined whether this diversification was accompanied by stronger validation and clinical translation. Materials and Methods: Following a registered Open Science Framework protocol, we conducted a scoping review using Joanna Briggs Institute methodology and PRISMA-ScR. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched on 8 August 2026 for English-language publications from 1 January 2010 through 31 July 2026. Eligible studies evaluated structured multivariable tools using exclusively preoperative inputs. Screening and data charting were performed independently and in duplicate. Results: Searches identified 893 records; removal of 55 records outside the publication window and 372 duplicates left 466 for screening. Sixty reports were assessed as full text, and 59 were included; 47 (79.7%) were published from 2020 onward. Point-based scores predominated (45/59, 76.3%), followed by nomograms (5/59, 8.5%), regression-based probability models (4/59, 6.8%), machine-learning models (4/59, 6.8%), and one quantitative imaging tool (1/59, 1.7%). Four model-development publications (6.8%) included a geographic external validation component, including one with mixed temporal and geographic validation. Calibration was reported in nine publications (15.3%), decision-curve analysis in seven (11.9%), and SHAP-based explainability in two (3.4%). Two publications evaluated scores during clinical use; no controlled clinical-impact study was identified. Conclusions: Evidence of transportability and clinical impact remains limited. Future studies should prioritize standardized prediction targets, complete model specification, calibration, independent validation, and controlled evaluation of model-guided care.

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BibTeX
@article{botoncea2026preoperative,
  title = {{Preoperative Prediction of Difficult Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy: Evolution, Validation, and Emerging Machine-Learning Approaches-A Scoping Review.}},
  author = {Marian Botoncea and Cătălin Dumitru Cosma and Dragoș Călin Molnar and Vlad Olimpiu Butiurca and Cosmin Lucian Nicolescu},
  journal = {Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3390/medicina62102042},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42942574},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Preoperative Prediction of Difficult Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy: Evolution, Validation, and Emerging Machine-Learning Approaches-A Scoping Review.
AU  - Marian Botoncea
AU  - Cătălin Dumitru Cosma
AU  - Dragoș Călin Molnar
AU  - Vlad Olimpiu Butiurca
AU  - Cosmin Lucian Nicolescu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/21
JO  - Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)
DO  - 10.3390/medicina62102042
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42942574
AB  - Background and Objectives: Preoperative prediction of difficult laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) has expanded from point-based scores to regression, nomogram, machine-learning, and quantitative imaging approaches. We examined whether this diversification was accompanied by stronger validation and clinical translation. Materials and Methods: Following a registered Open Science Framework protocol, we conducted a scoping review using Joanna Briggs Institute methodology and PRISMA-ScR. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched on 8 August 2026 for English-language publications from 1 January 2010 through 31 July 2026. Eligible studies evaluated structured multivariable tools using exclusively preoperative inputs. Screening and data charting were performed independently and in duplicate. Results: Searches identified 893 records; removal of 55 records outside the publication window and 372 duplicates left 466 for screening. Sixty reports were assessed as full text, and 59 were included; 47 (79.7%) were published from 2020 onward. Point-based scores predominated (45/59, 76.3%), followed by nomograms (5/59, 8.5%), regression-based probability models (4/59, 6.8%), machine-learning models (4/59, 6.8%), and one quantitative imaging tool (1/59, 1.7%). Four model-development publications (6.8%) included a geographic external validation component, including one with mixed temporal and geographic validation. Calibration was reported in nine publications (15.3%), decision-curve analysis in seven (11.9%), and SHAP-based explainability in two (3.4%). Two publications evaluated scores during clinical use; no controlled clinical-impact study was identified. Conclusions: Evidence of transportability and clinical impact remains limited. Future studies should prioritize standardized prediction targets, complete model specification, calibration, independent validation, and controlled evaluation of model-guided care.
SN  - 1010-660X
SN  - 1648-9144
ER  -