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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Missed Detections and False Alarms in a CNN Technosignature Detector on Breakthrough Listen Data

Abstract

Radio technosignature searches rely on machine learning detectors to shrink the candidate pool before a human looks at it. They are validated on held-out data from the training distribution, which excludes the cases where they are most likely to fail: a technosignature has unknown morphology, and terrestrial interference is unbounded in variety. I trained a standard competition detector once, froze it, and probed it with 15,000 injections across ten morphologies and five amplitudes, placed into real Green Bank backgrounds. Two directions were tested: genuine signals with morphologies other than a straight narrowband line, and interference resembling the training data. Recall did not follow the predicted ordering, and it fell as signals brightened, even for a needle of the kind the detector was trained on (from 0.590 to 0.090). One interference morphology reached a false positive rate of 0.627, comparable to the detector's own baseline recall of 0.5525 on genuine signals. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) showed attention along the injected path in one missed family by a pre-specified test, and visually in a second. A pre-specified, time-averaged ON-OFF filter removed false alarms and genuine detections at the same rate. The detector reads only the ON panels. Since the only evidence distinguishing a genuine candidate from terrestrial interference lies in the discarded OFF panels, it cannot tell if a signal originates from the target star; it can only tell if it resembles the training data. This explains the false alarm directly; the missed signals reflect what the detector learned to recognise, which reading the OFF panels would not by itself change.

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BibTeX
@misc{imran2026missed,
  title = {{Missed Detections and False Alarms in a CNN Technosignature Detector on Breakthrough Listen Data}},
  author = {Omer Imran},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.22050},
  eprint = {2610.22050},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22050},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Missed Detections and False Alarms in a CNN Technosignature Detector on Breakthrough Listen Data
AU  - Omer Imran
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/16
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.22050
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22050
AB  - Radio technosignature searches rely on machine learning detectors to shrink the candidate pool before a human looks at it. They are validated on held-out data from the training distribution, which excludes the cases where they are most likely to fail: a technosignature has unknown morphology, and terrestrial interference is unbounded in variety. I trained a standard competition detector once, froze it, and probed it with 15,000 injections across ten morphologies and five amplitudes, placed into real Green Bank backgrounds. Two directions were tested: genuine signals with morphologies other than a straight narrowband line, and interference resembling the training data. Recall did not follow the predicted ordering, and it fell as signals brightened, even for a needle of the kind the detector was trained on (from 0.590 to 0.090). One interference morphology reached a false positive rate of 0.627, comparable to the detector's own baseline recall of 0.5525 on genuine signals. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) showed attention along the injected path in one missed family by a pre-specified test, and visually in a second. A pre-specified, time-averaged ON-OFF filter removed false alarms and genuine detections at the same rate. The detector reads only the ON panels. Since the only evidence distinguishing a genuine candidate from terrestrial interference lies in the discarded OFF panels, it cannot tell if a signal originates from the target star; it can only tell if it resembles the training data. This explains the false alarm directly; the missed signals reflect what the detector learned to recognise, which reading the OFF panels would not by itself change.
ER  -