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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Scientific Reports

Assessing earthquake potential and fault activity from a newly estimated high-resolution geodetic velocity field in Hispaniola

Abstract

The transpressive plate boundary between the Caribbean and North American plates in Hispaniola is a complex system of strike-slip faults, subduction zones, fold-and-thrust belts, and normal faulting. Tectonic deformation studies in this region have traditionally relied on sparse Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks. Here we present a new assessment of deformation in Hispaniola using a dense 3D velocity field generated by integrating existing GNSS observations with new Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) velocities. Our InSAR processing approach utilizes phase linking, statistically-based multi-looking, and wrapped phase time-series estimation to mitigate noise, and a spatial covariance model of the troposphere to reduce its effect on the time-series estimation. We use the resulting high-resolution velocity field to calculate strain rates and model crustal faulting in Hispaniola. Strain rate tensors show a transpressional tectonic regime consistent with expectations from the regional tectonics. Modeling results indicate that the Septentrional-Oriente Fault zone is nearly fully locked with moment accumulation consistent with a Mw 7.9 earthquake every 300 years, while the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden Fault is almost fully creeping at the western end of the fault and has a much lower moment accumulation rate.

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BibTeX
@article{lee2026assessing,
  title = {{Assessing earthquake potential and fault activity from a newly estimated high-resolution geodetic velocity field in Hispaniola}},
  author = {Yi-Chieh Lee and Rishabh Dutta and Jeremy Maurer},
  journal = {Scientific Reports},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1038/s41598-026-73301-4},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-026-73301-4},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Assessing earthquake potential and fault activity from a newly estimated high-resolution geodetic velocity field in Hispaniola
AU  - Yi-Chieh Lee
AU  - Rishabh Dutta
AU  - Jeremy Maurer
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/07
JO  - Scientific Reports
DO  - 10.1038/s41598-026-73301-4
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-026-73301-4
AB  - The transpressive plate boundary between the Caribbean and North American plates in Hispaniola is a complex system of strike-slip faults, subduction zones, fold-and-thrust belts, and normal faulting. Tectonic deformation studies in this region have traditionally relied on sparse Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks. Here we present a new assessment of deformation in Hispaniola using a dense 3D velocity field generated by integrating existing GNSS observations with new Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) velocities. Our InSAR processing approach utilizes phase linking, statistically-based multi-looking, and wrapped phase time-series estimation to mitigate noise, and a spatial covariance model of the troposphere to reduce its effect on the time-series estimation. We use the resulting high-resolution velocity field to calculate strain rates and model crustal faulting in Hispaniola. Strain rate tensors show a transpressional tectonic regime consistent with expectations from the regional tectonics. Modeling results indicate that the Septentrional-Oriente Fault zone is nearly fully locked with moment accumulation consistent with a Mw 7.9 earthquake every 300 years, while the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden Fault is almost fully creeping at the western end of the fault and has a much lower moment accumulation rate.
SN  - 2045-2322
ER  -