Cognitive frailty independently predicts hip fracture risk in older Chinese adults: a 10-year prospective analysis.
10 affiliations
- 1Department of Emergency, the People's Hospital of Baoan Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China.
- 2School of Chinese Medicine, Jinggangshan University, Ji' an, Jiangxi Province, China.
- 3School of Clinical Medicine, Jinggangshan University, Ji' an, Jiangxi Province, China.
- 4School of Basic Medicine, Jinggangshan University, Ji' an, Jiangxi Province, China.
- 5Online Collaborative Research Center for Evidence-Based Medicine Ministry of Education, Jinggangshan University Branch, Ji' an, China.
- 6School of Mathematics and Physics, Jinggangshan University, Ji' an, Jiangxi Province, China.
- 7School of Basic Medicine, Jinggangshan University, Ji' an, Jiangxi Province, China. [email protected].
- 8Online Collaborative Research Center for Evidence-Based Medicine Ministry of Education, Jinggangshan University Branch, Ji' an, China. [email protected].
- 9Department of Emergency, the People's Hospital of Baoan Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China. [email protected].
- 10Department of Emergency, the People's Hospital of Baoan Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China. [email protected].
Abstract
Purpose
Hip fractures represent a significant public health burden among aging populations, particularly in China, where they are driven by osteoporosis and falls. Cognitive frailty- defined as the coexistence of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment in the absence of dementia has been associated with increased fall risk; however, its relationship with hip fractures remains poorly understood. This study aimed to investigate the association between cognitive frailty and hip fractures risk among older Chinese adults.Methods
Data were derived from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a nationally representative cohort. The cross-sectional study included 3,870 participants aged ≥ 60 years, while 3,797 participants were followed longitudinally over 10 years (2011-2020). Cognitive frailty was operationally defined as concurrent presence of cognitive impairment -assessed through word recall, the telephone interview for cognitive status (TICS-10), and figure drawing and physical frailty, defined by (Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP) score ≥ 3. Logistics regression and cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for sociodemographic and health-related covariates. Sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were conducted to validate the robustness of the findings.Results
The mean age of the cohort was 66.89 years, and 172 participants (4.53%) developed incident hip fractures during follow-up. Both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses demonstrated a significant association between cognitive frailty and an increased risk of hip fracture. In the fully adjusted logistic regression model, cognitive frailty was associated with a higher likelihood of hip fracture (OR = 3.67, 95% CI: 1.47-9.13). In the cohort analysis, cognitive frailty remained an independent predictor of incident hip fracture (adjusted HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.10-4.11). Subgroup analyses showed generally consistent associations across different strata. In addition, sensitivity analyses using alternative frailty index thresholds (FI > 0.20 and FI > 0.25) and analyses with imputed data confirmed the robustness of these findings.Conclusion
Cognitive frailty is independently associated with a significantly increases elevated risk of hip fractures in older Chinese older adults, highlighting it as a clinically important and modifiable risk factor. These findings underscore the need for integrated screening protocols that simultaneously assess both cognitive and physical frailty in geriatric care settings.
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BibTeX
@article{zhang2026cognitive,
title = {{Cognitive frailty independently predicts hip fracture risk in older Chinese adults: a 10-year prospective analysis.}},
author = {Xiaoming Zhang and Lihuan Chen and Rui Zeng and Fayi Xie and Aizhang Zhu and Ke Zhu and Tenghui Fan and Dongmei Ye and Wan Zhu and Mengxia Shi and Yi Xiao and Zezhong Lai and Yufei Zeng and Jiang Wang and Qing Li Dou and Yunzhi Yang},
journal = {Aging clinical and experimental research},
year = {2026},
month = aug,
doi = {10.1007/s40520-026-03464-7},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42957926},
note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Cognitive frailty independently predicts hip fracture risk in older Chinese adults: a 10-year prospective analysis.
AU - Xiaoming Zhang
AU - Lihuan Chen
AU - Rui Zeng
AU - Fayi Xie
AU - Aizhang Zhu
AU - Ke Zhu
AU - Tenghui Fan
AU - Dongmei Ye
AU - Wan Zhu
AU - Mengxia Shi
AU - Yi Xiao
AU - Zezhong Lai
AU - Yufei Zeng
AU - Jiang Wang
AU - Qing Li Dou
AU - Yunzhi Yang
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/08/04
JO - Aging clinical and experimental research
DO - 10.1007/s40520-026-03464-7
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42957926
AB - Purpose Hip fractures represent a significant public health burden among aging populations, particularly in China, where they are driven by osteoporosis and falls. Cognitive frailty- defined as the coexistence of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment in the absence of dementia has been associated with increased fall risk; however, its relationship with hip fractures remains poorly understood. This study aimed to investigate the association between cognitive frailty and hip fractures risk among older Chinese adults.Methods Data were derived from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a nationally representative cohort. The cross-sectional study included 3,870 participants aged ≥ 60 years, while 3,797 participants were followed longitudinally over 10 years (2011-2020). Cognitive frailty was operationally defined as concurrent presence of cognitive impairment -assessed through word recall, the telephone interview for cognitive status (TICS-10), and figure drawing and physical frailty, defined by (Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP) score ≥ 3. Logistics regression and cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for sociodemographic and health-related covariates. Sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were conducted to validate the robustness of the findings.Results The mean age of the cohort was 66.89 years, and 172 participants (4.53%) developed incident hip fractures during follow-up. Both cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses demonstrated a significant association between cognitive frailty and an increased risk of hip fracture. In the fully adjusted logistic regression model, cognitive frailty was associated with a higher likelihood of hip fracture (OR = 3.67, 95% CI: 1.47-9.13). In the cohort analysis, cognitive frailty remained an independent predictor of incident hip fracture (adjusted HR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.10-4.11). Subgroup analyses showed generally consistent associations across different strata. In addition, sensitivity analyses using alternative frailty index thresholds (FI > 0.20 and FI > 0.25) and analyses with imputed data confirmed the robustness of these findings.Conclusion Cognitive frailty is independently associated with a significantly increases elevated risk of hip fractures in older Chinese older adults, highlighting it as a clinically important and modifiable risk factor. These findings underscore the need for integrated screening protocols that simultaneously assess both cognitive and physical frailty in geriatric care settings.
SN - 1594-0667
SN - 1720-8319
ER -