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PreprintCC BY-NC-SA 4.0arXiv

Deus Ex Statistica: A Statistical Solution to the binary-binary Outcome of the Chaotic, Non-Hierarchical Four-Body Problem

Abstract

We present an analytical, statistical solution to the binary-binary (2+2) outcome of the chaotic non-hierarchical four-body problem. The solution is based on the density-of-states formulation pioneered by J. J. Monaghan. The method skips the computationally expensive integration of the equations of motion, and instead samples the outcome from the chaotic phase-space, subject to conservation of energy, momentum, and angular momentum. From the joint distribution, we extract marginal distributions of several key parameters using Monte-Carlo integration, and numerically verify them by comparing to an identical ensemble of scattering experiments produced by the FEWBODY code. From the comparison, we identify a regime not represented by the density-of-states formulation: the hard binary regime, where one binary is much harder then the four-body energy scale, and the system acts as an effective three-body system. We hypothesize that at this regime the system's probability distribution spreads over an effective reduced three-body chaotic phase space. The process of transfer from four-body to three-body phase-space is still not understood, and represents the next natural extension of density-of-states methods.

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BibTeX
@misc{zack2026deus,
  title = {{Deus Ex Statistica: A Statistical Solution to the binary-binary Outcome of the Chaotic, Non-Hierarchical Four-Body Problem}},
  author = {Yoav Zack and Hagai B. Perets and Yonadav Barry Ginat},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.09279},
  eprint = {2609.09279},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.09279},
  note = {CC BY-NC-SA 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Deus Ex Statistica: A Statistical Solution to the binary-binary Outcome of the Chaotic, Non-Hierarchical Four-Body Problem
AU  - Yoav Zack
AU  - Hagai B. Perets
AU  - Yonadav Barry Ginat
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/08
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.09279
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.09279
AB  - We present an analytical, statistical solution to the binary-binary (2+2) outcome of the chaotic non-hierarchical four-body problem. The solution is based on the density-of-states formulation pioneered by J. J. Monaghan. The method skips the computationally expensive integration of the equations of motion, and instead samples the outcome from the chaotic phase-space, subject to conservation of energy, momentum, and angular momentum. From the joint distribution, we extract marginal distributions of several key parameters using Monte-Carlo integration, and numerically verify them by comparing to an identical ensemble of scattering experiments produced by the FEWBODY code. From the comparison, we identify a regime not represented by the density-of-states formulation: the hard binary regime, where one binary is much harder then the four-body energy scale, and the system acts as an effective three-body system. We hypothesize that at this regime the system's probability distribution spreads over an effective reduced three-body chaotic phase space. The process of transfer from four-body to three-body phase-space is still not understood, and represents the next natural extension of density-of-states methods.
ER  -