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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

A Superdiffusive Local Limit Theorem for the Elephant Random Walk and the Breakdown of Log-Concavity

Abstract

Let (Sn)n≥ 1 be the one-dimensional Elephant Random Walk (ERW) in the superdiffusive regime, with memory parameter p∈(3/4,1) and first-step bias ℙ(S1=1)=q. Set a=2p−1∈(1/2,1). If fq,a denotes the density of the superdiffusive limit Lq,a, we prove the uniform local limit theorem limn→∞supj∈ℤ, j≡ n (mod 2)|na/2ℙ(Sn=j)−fq,a(j/na)|=0. The proof uses the exact recurrence for the probability mass function of Sn, yielding uniform O(n−a) and O(n−2a) bounds for the p.m.f. and its first discrete differences, respectively. We then disprove a conjecture of Guérin, Laulin, Raschel and Simon concerning eventual log-concavity. Writing La=L1,a and fa=f1,a, let aev be the eventual-log-concavity threshold and let a⋆ be the upper failure threshold for log-concavity of fa. Their results imply aev≥(√5−1)/2, and we prove (√5−1)/2≤ aev≤min{0.80399,a⋆}≤ a⋆<0.918. The bound a⋆<0.918 follows from the first three exact moments of La and the sharp skewness inequality for centered log-concave distributions, while aev≤0.80399 follows from a certified finite-order analysis of the exact p.m.f. recurrence. Direct numerical iterations provide evidence that aev≈0.80399, equivalently pev≈0.902.

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BibTeX
@misc{trinas2026superdiffusive,
  title = {{A Superdiffusive Local Limit Theorem for the Elephant Random Walk and the Breakdown of Log-Concavity}},
  author = {Hélio Trinas and Glauco Valle},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.14753},
  eprint = {2609.14753},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.14753},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - A Superdiffusive Local Limit Theorem for the Elephant Random Walk and the Breakdown of Log-Concavity
AU  - Hélio Trinas
AU  - Glauco Valle
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/13
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.14753
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.14753
AB  - Let (S_n)_n≥ 1 be the one-dimensional Elephant Random Walk (ERW) in the superdiffusive regime, with memory parameter p∈(3/4,1) and first-step bias ℙ(S_1=1)=q. Set a=2p−1∈(1/2,1). If f_q,a denotes the density of the superdiffusive limit L_q,a, we prove the uniform local limit theorem lim_n→∞sup_j∈ℤ, j≡ n (mod 2)|n^a/2ℙ(S_n=j)−f_q,a(j/n^a)|=0. The proof uses the exact recurrence for the probability mass function of S_n, yielding uniform O(n^−a) and O(n^−2a) bounds for the p.m.f. and its first discrete differences, respectively. We then disprove a conjecture of Guérin, Laulin, Raschel and Simon concerning eventual log-concavity. Writing L_a=L_1,a and f_a=f_1,a, let a_ev be the eventual-log-concavity threshold and let a_⋆ be the upper failure threshold for log-concavity of f_a. Their results imply a_ev≥(√5−1)/2, and we prove (√5−1)/2≤ a_ev≤min{0.80399,a_⋆}≤ a_⋆<0.918. The bound a_⋆<0.918 follows from the first three exact moments of L_a and the sharp skewness inequality for centered log-concave distributions, while a_ev≤0.80399 follows from a certified finite-order analysis of the exact p.m.f. recurrence. Direct numerical iterations provide evidence that a_ev≈0.80399, equivalently p_ev≈0.902.
ER  -