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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Communications Earth & Environment

Energetically extreme fires drive disastrous societal impacts

Abstract

Societally disastrous fires are often physically extreme. Using a global fire events dataset spanning 2002–2025, we demonstrate that 66% of disaster-linked fires rank in the top 0.5% globally for size, peak daily speed, or peak daily energy. Fire energy emerges as the dominant driver of these disasters, with the median energy of disaster-linked fires ranking in the 99.8th percentile of fires globally. In temperate conifer forests, primarily those in Western North America, the burned area from energetically extreme fires more than doubled during this period. The Global South accounted for 95% of total population exposure and 76% of powerline exposure to energetically extreme fires. These findings underscore the need for improved extreme fire prediction and mitigation efforts to protect lives, homes, and livelihoods.

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BibTeX
@article{yin2026energetically,
  title = {{Energetically extreme fires drive disastrous societal impacts}},
  author = {Cong Yin and John T. Abatzoglou and Calum X. Cunningham and Matthew W. Jones and Mojtaba Sadegh},
  journal = {Communications Earth \& Environment},
  year = {2026},
  month = nov,
  doi = {10.1038/s43247-026-04217-0},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-026-04217-0},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Energetically extreme fires drive disastrous societal impacts
AU  - Cong Yin
AU  - John T. Abatzoglou
AU  - Calum X. Cunningham
AU  - Matthew W. Jones
AU  - Mojtaba Sadegh
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/11/02
JO  - Communications Earth & Environment
DO  - 10.1038/s43247-026-04217-0
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-026-04217-0
AB  - Societally disastrous fires are often physically extreme. Using a global fire events dataset spanning 2002–2025, we demonstrate that 66% of disaster-linked fires rank in the top 0.5% globally for size, peak daily speed, or peak daily energy. Fire energy emerges as the dominant driver of these disasters, with the median energy of disaster-linked fires ranking in the 99.8th percentile of fires globally. In temperate conifer forests, primarily those in Western North America, the burned area from energetically extreme fires more than doubled during this period. The Global South accounted for 95% of total population exposure and 76% of powerline exposure to energetically extreme fires. These findings underscore the need for improved extreme fire prediction and mitigation efforts to protect lives, homes, and livelihoods.
SN  - 2662-4435
ER  -