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PreprintCC BY-NC-ND 4.0arXiv

Steelmakers increasingly cite scrap quality when closing material loops with their customers

Abstract

The transition to a circular economy is pivotal for industrial decarbonization, particularly in the energy-intensive steel sector. While recycling scrap via electric arc furnaces offers a low-carbon alternative to primary production, the accumulation of contaminants in post-consumer steel threatens to render secondary material unusable for high-grade applications. This quality problem creates a market failure where traditional spot markets cannot guarantee the material provenance required for high quality (e.g. automotive-grade) steel. Here we show, using a massive longitudinal analysis of 1,163,561,858 news articles combined with global trade network data, that the industry addresses this partly through direct, vertically integrated alliances. We demonstrate that steelmakers are bypassing intermediaries to forge sovereign, closed-loop ties with manufacturers, effectively substituting market mechanisms with organizational integration. This reorganization coexists with a division between circular network cores in the Americas and Europe that pair their steel and scrap flows most tightly within their region, and economies whose steel and scrap flows are far less matched. At firm level, the quality of the returned scrap is a stated reason in twelve of thirty-six reciprocal loops closing after 2020 and in none of the eight loops detected before. Our results indicate that the circular economy is evolving into a geopolitical contest for material control, where competitive advantage is defined by the sovereign possession of closed material cycles rather than mere cost efficiency.

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BibTeX
@misc{klimek2026steelmakers,
  title = {{Steelmakers increasingly cite scrap quality when closing material loops with their customers}},
  author = {Peter Klimek and Jaber Fooladi},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2605.28178},
  eprint = {2605.28178},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.28178},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Steelmakers increasingly cite scrap quality when closing material loops with their customers
AU  - Peter Klimek
AU  - Jaber Fooladi
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/27
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2605.28178
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.28178
AB  - The transition to a circular economy is pivotal for industrial decarbonization, particularly in the energy-intensive steel sector. While recycling scrap via electric arc furnaces offers a low-carbon alternative to primary production, the accumulation of contaminants in post-consumer steel threatens to render secondary material unusable for high-grade applications. This quality problem creates a market failure where traditional spot markets cannot guarantee the material provenance required for high quality (e.g. automotive-grade) steel. Here we show, using a massive longitudinal analysis of 1,163,561,858 news articles combined with global trade network data, that the industry addresses this partly through direct, vertically integrated alliances. We demonstrate that steelmakers are bypassing intermediaries to forge sovereign, closed-loop ties with manufacturers, effectively substituting market mechanisms with organizational integration. This reorganization coexists with a division between circular network cores in the Americas and Europe that pair their steel and scrap flows most tightly within their region, and economies whose steel and scrap flows are far less matched. At firm level, the quality of the returned scrap is a stated reason in twelve of thirty-six reciprocal loops closing after 2020 and in none of the eight loops detected before. Our results indicate that the circular economy is evolving into a geopolitical contest for material control, where competitive advantage is defined by the sovereign possession of closed material cycles rather than mere cost efficiency.
ER  -