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PreprintCC BYbioRxiv

Clustering without clusters: the meta-criterion and centroid reliability mistake continuous dynamics for discrete states

  1. 1University of New South Wales

Abstract

Microstate analysis starts with clustering and the meta-criterion is a heuristic to find an optimum cluster number. We address the following questions: (i) what number is found for non-cluster-forming dynamical systems, (ii) do centroids fall in random attractor regions, (iii) do EEG topographies form clusters or a single connected structure in sensor space? We find that (i) the meta-criterion suggests spurious optimal cluster numbers (4-8) with high confidence on different attractor geometries, (ii) cluster centroids reliably fall in the same attractor regions, (iii) topological analysis of dynamical systems and resting-state EEG suggests that all form a single connected structure in their respective phase space, not clusters. We conclude that the meta-criterion should be used with caution and its results should not be taken as representing a ground truth. Cluster numbers deviating from the meta-criterion should not be discarded. A more far-reaching implication is that evidence for the existence of clusters in resting-state EEG data is still lacking. Microstate clustering may correspond to the partitioning of a single connected structure.

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BibTeX
@misc{wegner2026clustering,
  title = {{Clustering without clusters: the meta-criterion and centroid reliability mistake continuous dynamics for discrete states}},
  author = {F. von Wegner and G. Hermann},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.09.06.749668},
  url = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.06.749668v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Clustering without clusters: the meta-criterion and centroid reliability mistake continuous dynamics for discrete states
AU  - F. von Wegner
AU  - G. Hermann
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/06
PB  - bioRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.09.06.749668
UR  - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.06.749668v1
AB  - Microstate analysis starts with clustering and the meta-criterion is a heuristic to find an optimum cluster number. We address the following questions: (i) what number is found for non-cluster-forming dynamical systems, (ii) do centroids fall in random attractor regions, (iii) do EEG topographies form clusters or a single connected structure in sensor space? We find that (i) the meta-criterion suggests spurious optimal cluster numbers (4-8) with high confidence on different attractor geometries, (ii) cluster centroids reliably fall in the same attractor regions, (iii) topological analysis of dynamical systems and resting-state EEG suggests that all form a single connected structure in their respective phase space, not clusters. We conclude that the meta-criterion should be used with caution and its results should not be taken as representing a ground truth. Cluster numbers deviating from the meta-criterion should not be discarded. A more far-reaching implication is that evidence for the existence of clusters in resting-state EEG data is still lacking. Microstate clustering may correspond to the partitioning of a single connected structure.
ER  -