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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

VitisGP: Multi-Task Benchmark for Genotype to Phenotype Grapevine Prediction

Abstract

As climate change reshapes grape-growing conditions, predicting grapevine phenotypes from genomic variation is increasingly important for identifying and breeding cultivars suited to emerging environmental pressures. Existing research on the grapevine genotype-phenotype relationship using machine learning has often focused on individual traits, isolated regions, or a limited set of predictive models. We introduce VitisGP, a multi-phenotype curated dataset, integrating genome-wide SNP data with 26 heterogeneous phenotype prediction tasks spanning sommelier-curated aroma traits (N=11), botanical traits (N=14) and wine color---across 1,197 Vitis vinifera cultivars. We employ VitisGP to benchmark phenotype prediction, comparing machine-learning models with differing inductive biases---L2-regularized logistic regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, GBLUP and Transformer-based models, providing the first systematic comparison of this breadth on harmonized grapevine data. Across the benchmark, CatBoost achieves the strongest overall performance (macro-average AUROC=0.696 across 26 tasks), although model performance varies substantially across phenotype classes, with sensory and color traits showing stronger predictability than agronomic characteristics. VitisGP provides the community with a resource for investigating the genomic basis of phenotypic traits and screening grapevine diversity for climate-relevant characteristics.

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BibTeX
@misc{dercoli2026vitisgp,
  title = {{VitisGP: Multi-Task Benchmark for Genotype to Phenotype Grapevine Prediction}},
  author = {Chiara D'Ercoli and May Levin and Pietro Liò},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.40668},
  eprint = {2610.40668},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40668},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - VitisGP: Multi-Task Benchmark for Genotype to Phenotype Grapevine Prediction
AU  - Chiara D'Ercoli
AU  - May Levin
AU  - Pietro Liò
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/13
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.40668
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40668
AB  - As climate change reshapes grape-growing conditions, predicting grapevine phenotypes from genomic variation is increasingly important for identifying and breeding cultivars suited to emerging environmental pressures. Existing research on the grapevine genotype-phenotype relationship using machine learning has often focused on individual traits, isolated regions, or a limited set of predictive models. We introduce VitisGP, a multi-phenotype curated dataset, integrating genome-wide SNP data with 26 heterogeneous phenotype prediction tasks spanning sommelier-curated aroma traits (N=11), botanical traits (N=14) and wine color---across 1,197 Vitis vinifera cultivars. We employ VitisGP to benchmark phenotype prediction, comparing machine-learning models with differing inductive biases---L2-regularized logistic regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, GBLUP and Transformer-based models, providing the first systematic comparison of this breadth on harmonized grapevine data. Across the benchmark, CatBoost achieves the strongest overall performance (macro-average AUROC=0.696 across 26 tasks), although model performance varies substantially across phenotype classes, with sensory and color traits showing stronger predictability than agronomic characteristics. VitisGP provides the community with a resource for investigating the genomic basis of phenotypic traits and screening grapevine diversity for climate-relevant characteristics.
ER  -