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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-ND 4.0In Vivo

Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

6 affiliations
  1. 1Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
  2. 2Department of Thoracic Surgery, Yokohama Rosai Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
  3. 3Department of Thoracic Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
  4. 4Department of Pathology, Saitama Medical University School of Medicine, Saitama, Japan
  5. 5Department of Pathology, Kanagawa Cardiovascular and Respiratory Center, Yokohama, Japan
  6. 6Department of Thoracic Surgery, Kanagawa Cardiovascular and Respiratory Center, Yokohama, Japan

Abstract

Background/Aim: Although the Ki-67 labeling index (LI) is widely used as a marker of tumor proliferative activity, its prognostic utility in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains uncertain because of heterogeneous study populations and the lack of standardized, histology-specific cutoff values.

Patients and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,245 patients with completely resected pathologic stage I-III NSCLC. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for postoperative recurrence within 5 years was used to determine Ki-67 LI cutoff values. Associations between Ki-67 LI status and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

Results: Ki-67 LI was significantly higher in squamous cell carcinoma than in adenocarcinoma (median, 40.0% vs. 15.0%; p<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis yielded a cutoff value of 21.0% for the overall NSCLC cohort and histology-specific cutoff values of 13.0% for adenocarcinoma and 40.5% for squamous cell carcinoma. The corresponding 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) were 0.656 for the overall NSCLC cohort, 0.691 for adenocarcinoma, and 0.607 for squamous cell carcinoma. After multivariable adjustment, high Ki-67 LI was independently associated with poorer RFS in the overall NSCLC cohort [hazard ratio (HR)=1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.11-1.77; p=0.005], adenocarcinoma cohort (HR=1.57; 95%CI=1.15-2.16; p=0.005), and squamous cell carcinoma cohort (HR=1.82; 95%CI=1.22-2.73; p=0.004). High Ki-67 LI was also independently associated with poorer OS in the overall NSCLC and adenocarcinoma cohorts, but not in the squamous cell carcinoma cohort.

Conclusion: High Ki-67 LI was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence in both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Histology-specific cutoffs derived by time-dependent ROC analysis may support Ki-67-based postoperative risk stratification in resected NSCLC.

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BibTeX
@article{kameda2026prognostic,
  title = {{Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer}},
  author = {YOHEI KAMEDA and TETSUKAN WOO and MAI MATSUMURA and TOMOE SAWAZUMI and HIROMASA ARAI and KOJI OKUDELA and AYA SAITO},
  journal = {In Vivo},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.21873/invivo.14514},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.21873/invivo.14514},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer
AU  - YOHEI KAMEDA
AU  - TETSUKAN WOO
AU  - MAI MATSUMURA
AU  - TOMOE SAWAZUMI
AU  - HIROMASA ARAI
AU  - KOJI OKUDELA
AU  - AYA SAITO
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/29
JO  - In Vivo
DO  - 10.21873/invivo.14514
UR  - https://doi.org/10.21873/invivo.14514
AB  - Background/Aim: Although the Ki-67 labeling index (LI) is widely used as a marker of tumor proliferative activity, its prognostic utility in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains uncertain because of heterogeneous study populations and the lack of standardized, histology-specific cutoff values.  Patients and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,245 patients with completely resected pathologic stage I-III NSCLC. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for postoperative recurrence within 5 years was used to determine Ki-67 LI cutoff values. Associations between Ki-67 LI status and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.  Results: Ki-67 LI was significantly higher in squamous cell carcinoma than in adenocarcinoma (median, 40.0% vs. 15.0%; p<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis yielded a cutoff value of 21.0% for the overall NSCLC cohort and histology-specific cutoff values of 13.0% for adenocarcinoma and 40.5% for squamous cell carcinoma. The corresponding 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) were 0.656 for the overall NSCLC cohort, 0.691 for adenocarcinoma, and 0.607 for squamous cell carcinoma. After multivariable adjustment, high Ki-67 LI was independently associated with poorer RFS in the overall NSCLC cohort [hazard ratio (HR)=1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.11-1.77; p=0.005], adenocarcinoma cohort (HR=1.57; 95%CI=1.15-2.16; p=0.005), and squamous cell carcinoma cohort (HR=1.82; 95%CI=1.22-2.73; p=0.004). High Ki-67 LI was also independently associated with poorer OS in the overall NSCLC and adenocarcinoma cohorts, but not in the squamous cell carcinoma cohort.  Conclusion: High Ki-67 LI was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence in both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Histology-specific cutoffs derived by time-dependent ROC analysis may support Ki-67-based postoperative risk stratification in resected NSCLC.
SN  - 0258-851X
SN  - 1791-7549
ER  -