Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer
6 affiliations
- 1Department of Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
- 2Department of Thoracic Surgery, Yokohama Rosai Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
- 3Department of Thoracic Surgery, Yokohama City University School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
- 4Department of Pathology, Saitama Medical University School of Medicine, Saitama, Japan
- 5Department of Pathology, Kanagawa Cardiovascular and Respiratory Center, Yokohama, Japan
- 6Department of Thoracic Surgery, Kanagawa Cardiovascular and Respiratory Center, Yokohama, Japan
Abstract
Background/Aim: Although the Ki-67 labeling index (LI) is widely used as a marker of tumor proliferative activity, its prognostic utility in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains uncertain because of heterogeneous study populations and the lack of standardized, histology-specific cutoff values.
Patients and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,245 patients with completely resected pathologic stage I-III NSCLC. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for postoperative recurrence within 5 years was used to determine Ki-67 LI cutoff values. Associations between Ki-67 LI status and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.
Results: Ki-67 LI was significantly higher in squamous cell carcinoma than in adenocarcinoma (median, 40.0% vs. 15.0%; p<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis yielded a cutoff value of 21.0% for the overall NSCLC cohort and histology-specific cutoff values of 13.0% for adenocarcinoma and 40.5% for squamous cell carcinoma. The corresponding 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) were 0.656 for the overall NSCLC cohort, 0.691 for adenocarcinoma, and 0.607 for squamous cell carcinoma. After multivariable adjustment, high Ki-67 LI was independently associated with poorer RFS in the overall NSCLC cohort [hazard ratio (HR)=1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.11-1.77; p=0.005], adenocarcinoma cohort (HR=1.57; 95%CI=1.15-2.16; p=0.005), and squamous cell carcinoma cohort (HR=1.82; 95%CI=1.22-2.73; p=0.004). High Ki-67 LI was also independently associated with poorer OS in the overall NSCLC and adenocarcinoma cohorts, but not in the squamous cell carcinoma cohort.
Conclusion: High Ki-67 LI was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence in both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Histology-specific cutoffs derived by time-dependent ROC analysis may support Ki-67-based postoperative risk stratification in resected NSCLC.
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BibTeX
@article{kameda2026prognostic,
title = {{Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer}},
author = {YOHEI KAMEDA and TETSUKAN WOO and MAI MATSUMURA and TOMOE SAWAZUMI and HIROMASA ARAI and KOJI OKUDELA and AYA SAITO},
journal = {In Vivo},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.21873/invivo.14514},
url = {https://doi.org/10.21873/invivo.14514},
note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Prognostic Value of Histology-specific Ki-67 Labeling Index Cutoffs in Stage I-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer
AU - YOHEI KAMEDA
AU - TETSUKAN WOO
AU - MAI MATSUMURA
AU - TOMOE SAWAZUMI
AU - HIROMASA ARAI
AU - KOJI OKUDELA
AU - AYA SAITO
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/29
JO - In Vivo
DO - 10.21873/invivo.14514
UR - https://doi.org/10.21873/invivo.14514
AB - Background/Aim: Although the Ki-67 labeling index (LI) is widely used as a marker of tumor proliferative activity, its prognostic utility in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains uncertain because of heterogeneous study populations and the lack of standardized, histology-specific cutoff values. Patients and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,245 patients with completely resected pathologic stage I-III NSCLC. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for postoperative recurrence within 5 years was used to determine Ki-67 LI cutoff values. Associations between Ki-67 LI status and recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Ki-67 LI was significantly higher in squamous cell carcinoma than in adenocarcinoma (median, 40.0% vs. 15.0%; p<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis yielded a cutoff value of 21.0% for the overall NSCLC cohort and histology-specific cutoff values of 13.0% for adenocarcinoma and 40.5% for squamous cell carcinoma. The corresponding 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) were 0.656 for the overall NSCLC cohort, 0.691 for adenocarcinoma, and 0.607 for squamous cell carcinoma. After multivariable adjustment, high Ki-67 LI was independently associated with poorer RFS in the overall NSCLC cohort [hazard ratio (HR)=1.40; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.11-1.77; p=0.005], adenocarcinoma cohort (HR=1.57; 95%CI=1.15-2.16; p=0.005), and squamous cell carcinoma cohort (HR=1.82; 95%CI=1.22-2.73; p=0.004). High Ki-67 LI was also independently associated with poorer OS in the overall NSCLC and adenocarcinoma cohorts, but not in the squamous cell carcinoma cohort. Conclusion: High Ki-67 LI was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative recurrence in both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Histology-specific cutoffs derived by time-dependent ROC analysis may support Ki-67-based postoperative risk stratification in resected NSCLC.
SN - 0258-851X
SN - 1791-7549
ER -