A Hawkes Microfoundation for Multitype Inverse Gaussian Subordinators
Abstract
We provide an event-level Hawkes microfoundation for a multitype inverse-Gaussian stochastic clock. We show that the event counts and integrated intensities of nearly critical multivariate linear Hawkes processes converge jointly to a multivariate pure-jump subordinator when reproduction delays have finite mean and immigration is balanced so that rare large families remain visible. The dependence among the limiting coordinates is inherited from microscopic cross-excitation, and the limit admits a Brownian additive-field first-passage representation. We call this process the multitype inverse-Gaussian subordinator. Its diagonal case consists of independent classical inverse-Gaussian subordinators, with the univariate model as a further special case. The square-root specialization recovers the inverse-Gaussian clock obtained at the boundary of hyper-rough square-root models by Abi Jaber--Attal--Rosenbaum (\textit{Ann. Appl. Probab.} \textbf{36}(4): 3635--3660, 2026). Our cluster proof exposes the underlying mechanism: finite-variance near-critical branching creates rare but macroscopic families, while their internal timing disappears on the observation scale, so each family becomes a jump. We also clarify the relation with the multivariate Hawkes scaling theory of Xu (arXiv:2412.14459): its diagonal-atom condition yields the diagonal specialization, whereas the genuinely coupled limit requires a separate uniqueness argument. In addition, under a common tilted-stability condition, we replace the high-intensity assumption in that theory by a weaker accumulated-activity condition and provide the Riccati identification needed when the potential has an atom. We strengthen convergence of the count and compensator and extend the scalar conclusion to finite-variance age-dependent branching clusters.
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BibTeX
@misc{wang2026hawkes,
title = {{A Hawkes Microfoundation for Multitype Inverse Gaussian Subordinators}},
author = {Yingli Wang and Wei Xu and Lingjiong Zhu},
howpublished = {arXiv},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.10525},
eprint = {2610.10525},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10525},
note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
TI - A Hawkes Microfoundation for Multitype Inverse Gaussian Subordinators
AU - Yingli Wang
AU - Wei Xu
AU - Lingjiong Zhu
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/07
PB - arXiv
DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.10525
UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10525
AB - We provide an event-level Hawkes microfoundation for a multitype inverse-Gaussian stochastic clock. We show that the event counts and integrated intensities of nearly critical multivariate linear Hawkes processes converge jointly to a multivariate pure-jump subordinator when reproduction delays have finite mean and immigration is balanced so that rare large families remain visible. The dependence among the limiting coordinates is inherited from microscopic cross-excitation, and the limit admits a Brownian additive-field first-passage representation. We call this process the multitype inverse-Gaussian subordinator. Its diagonal case consists of independent classical inverse-Gaussian subordinators, with the univariate model as a further special case. The square-root specialization recovers the inverse-Gaussian clock obtained at the boundary of hyper-rough square-root models by Abi Jaber--Attal--Rosenbaum (\textit{Ann. Appl. Probab.} \textbf{36}(4): 3635--3660, 2026). Our cluster proof exposes the underlying mechanism: finite-variance near-critical branching creates rare but macroscopic families, while their internal timing disappears on the observation scale, so each family becomes a jump. We also clarify the relation with the multivariate Hawkes scaling theory of Xu (arXiv:2412.14459): its diagonal-atom condition yields the diagonal specialization, whereas the genuinely coupled limit requires a separate uniqueness argument. In addition, under a common tilted-stability condition, we replace the high-intensity assumption in that theory by a weaker accumulated-activity condition and provide the Riccati identification needed when the potential has an atom. We strengthen convergence of the count and compensator and extend the scalar conclusion to finite-variance age-dependent branching clusters.
ER -