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Quantum approximate stochastic combinatorial optimisation

Abstract

Two-stage stochastic combinatorial optimisation concerns discrete decisions made before all relevant information is known. An initial decision is made; once uncertainty is resolved, it can be adapted to the realised scenario, at a cost. The aim is to find the initial decision that minimises the upfront cost plus the expected cost of optimal adaptation. The first-stage decision problem is often NP-hard, and computing the expected minimum recourse cost can be #P-hard for a single first-stage candidate. We introduce Quantum Approximate Stochastic Combinatorial Optimisation (QASCO), a variational quantum-walk ansatz that coherently incorporates scenario-dependent recourse into its dynamics to search over first-stage decisions without explicitly evaluating expected minimum recourse costs. We demonstrate QASCO for MaxCut with stochastic edge weights, obtain a circuit with polynomial per-layer gate complexity, and study the ansatz via exact state-vector simulation. Across the instances considered, QASCO concentrates amplitude more effectively on stochastic-optimal first-stage decisions than a previously proposed two-stage QAOA construction. We further show that the ansatz can be calibrated using a depth-independent number of parameters and applied to unseen instances without further circuit-parameter optimisation, including joint decision--scenario--recourse spaces spanning more than 232 configurations. Under a query-cost model, comparison with the tested classical heuristics using sample-average approximations of the expected minimum recourse cost shows that QASCO more reliably reaches globally optimal first-stage solutions while requiring fewer cut evaluations. These results show how to incorporate scenario-dependent recourse into the ansatz dynamics, providing a general framework for variational quantum walks in two-stage stochastic combinatorial optimisation.

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BibTeX
@misc{matwiejew2026quantum,
  title = {{Quantum approximate stochastic combinatorial optimisation}},
  author = {Edric Matwiejew and Paulo E. Santos and Jingbo B. Wang and Ugo Varetto},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.22876},
  eprint = {2610.22876},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22876},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Quantum approximate stochastic combinatorial optimisation
AU  - Edric Matwiejew
AU  - Paulo E. Santos
AU  - Jingbo B. Wang
AU  - Ugo Varetto
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/16
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.22876
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22876
AB  - Two-stage stochastic combinatorial optimisation concerns discrete decisions made before all relevant information is known. An initial decision is made; once uncertainty is resolved, it can be adapted to the realised scenario, at a cost. The aim is to find the initial decision that minimises the upfront cost plus the expected cost of optimal adaptation. The first-stage decision problem is often NP-hard, and computing the expected minimum recourse cost can be #P-hard for a single first-stage candidate. We introduce Quantum Approximate Stochastic Combinatorial Optimisation (QASCO), a variational quantum-walk ansatz that coherently incorporates scenario-dependent recourse into its dynamics to search over first-stage decisions without explicitly evaluating expected minimum recourse costs. We demonstrate QASCO for MaxCut with stochastic edge weights, obtain a circuit with polynomial per-layer gate complexity, and study the ansatz via exact state-vector simulation. Across the instances considered, QASCO concentrates amplitude more effectively on stochastic-optimal first-stage decisions than a previously proposed two-stage QAOA construction. We further show that the ansatz can be calibrated using a depth-independent number of parameters and applied to unseen instances without further circuit-parameter optimisation, including joint decision--scenario--recourse spaces spanning more than 2^32 configurations. Under a query-cost model, comparison with the tested classical heuristics using sample-average approximations of the expected minimum recourse cost shows that QASCO more reliably reaches globally optimal first-stage solutions while requiring fewer cut evaluations. These results show how to incorporate scenario-dependent recourse into the ansatz dynamics, providing a general framework for variational quantum walks in two-stage stochastic combinatorial optimisation.
ER  -