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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Earth System Dynamics

Impacts of simulated coastal ocean alkalinity enhancement on the seasonal carbon cycle in European waters under a low- and a high-emission scenario

  1. 1CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (Lecce, Italy)
  2. 2GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (Kiel, Germany)

Abstract

One potentially scalable method to remove CO ₂ from the air is ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE), which works to lower the ocean's CO ₂ partial pressure ( p CO ₂ ) and accelerate CO ₂ sequestration and durable storage. This study explores how OAE might affect the seasonal carbon cycle, which plays a key role in the ocean's annual CO ₂ uptake. By analysing Earth System Model simulations of OAE implemented continuously at the European coastline under low and high emissions, it was found that: (a) due to surface alkalinity retention, OAE reduces ocean p CO ₂ most strongly in summer, turning the region into a year-round carbon sink; (b) the strongest air-sea CO ₂ uptake enhancement takes place in winter; (c) the ocean's carbon sink is increased more strongly in SSP3-7.0 than in SSP1-2.6 due to a lower buffering capacity.

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BibTeX
@article{ciscato2026impacts,
  title = {{Impacts of simulated coastal ocean alkalinity enhancement on the seasonal carbon cycle in European waters under a low- and a high-emission scenario}},
  author = {Chiara Ciscato and Neha Mehendale and Tronje P. Kemena and Sandy Avrutin and David P. Keller},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5194/esd-17-1513-2026},
  url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1513/2026/},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Impacts of simulated coastal ocean alkalinity enhancement on the seasonal carbon cycle in European waters under a low- and a high-emission scenario
AU  - Chiara Ciscato
AU  - Neha Mehendale
AU  - Tronje P. Kemena
AU  - Sandy Avrutin
AU  - David P. Keller
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/07
JO  - Earth System Dynamics
DO  - 10.5194/esd-17-1513-2026
UR  - https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/1513/2026/
AB  - One potentially scalable method to remove CO ₂ from the air is ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE), which works to lower the ocean's CO ₂ partial pressure ( p CO ₂ ) and accelerate CO ₂ sequestration and durable storage. This study explores how OAE might affect the seasonal carbon cycle, which plays a key role in the ocean's annual CO ₂ uptake. By analysing Earth System Model simulations of OAE implemented continuously at the European coastline under low and high emissions, it was found that: (a) due to surface alkalinity retention, OAE reduces ocean p CO ₂ most strongly in summer, turning the region into a year-round carbon sink; (b) the strongest air-sea CO ₂ uptake enhancement takes place in winter; (c) the ocean's carbon sink is increased more strongly in SSP3-7.0 than in SSP1-2.6 due to a lower buffering capacity.
SN  - 2190-4987
ER  -