Decomposing Vehicle Production and Consumption Impacts in Japan under Mobility and Production Network Interventions.
- 1National Institute for Environmental Studies , Tsukuba, Ibaraki305-8506, Japan.
- 2Toyota Central R&D Laboratories. Inc., Nagakute, Aichi480-1192, Japan.
- 3Fukuoka Institute of Technology, Wajiro-Higashi, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka811-0295, Japan.
Abstract
Passenger vehicles contribute approximately 8% to global energy-related emissions and drive other environmental impacts through the extraction of raw materials. In this study, a hybrid LCA approach is used to investigate emissions and material life-cycle impacts arising from vehicle production and consumption in Japan. By embedding a physical vehicle production model within a global MRIO, we find that 53% of emissions occur in Japan, while almost all material extraction impacts occur internationally. Vehicle size, PHEV utility factor, and battery capacity all strongly influence life-cycle impacts. Demand-side scenarios of increased occupancy, downsizing, and lifetime extension have the collective potential to reduce emissions by approximately 33% at the cohort level, while providing comparable mobility services. Lifetime extension requires additional material inputs with associated impacts; however, these impacts are repaid over time, resulting in an overall average emissions intensity (gCO2e/km) reduction of 7%. Vehicle electrification alone is unlikely to be sufficient to meet climate targets; therefore, demand-side measures should be implemented concurrently to decarbonize passenger transport while maintaining access to mobility services. While some opportunity exists to substitute upstream suppliers for lower-impact providers, the existence of low-pollution production havens is limited, further underscoring the importance of demand-side measures.
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BibTeX
@article{fry2026decomposing,
title = {{Decomposing Vehicle Production and Consumption Impacts in Japan under Mobility and Production Network Interventions.}},
author = {Jacob Fry and Ziyan He and Hiroyuki Ishikawa and Takamichi Iwata and Minami Kito and Kenichi Nakajima and Keisuke Nansai},
journal = {Environmental science \& technology},
year = {2026},
month = sep,
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.6c06919},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42916277},
note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Decomposing Vehicle Production and Consumption Impacts in Japan under Mobility and Production Network Interventions.
AU - Jacob Fry
AU - Ziyan He
AU - Hiroyuki Ishikawa
AU - Takamichi Iwata
AU - Minami Kito
AU - Kenichi Nakajima
AU - Keisuke Nansai
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/09/01
JO - Environmental science & technology
DO - 10.1021/acs.est.6c06919
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42916277
AB - Passenger vehicles contribute approximately 8% to global energy-related emissions and drive other environmental impacts through the extraction of raw materials. In this study, a hybrid LCA approach is used to investigate emissions and material life-cycle impacts arising from vehicle production and consumption in Japan. By embedding a physical vehicle production model within a global MRIO, we find that 53% of emissions occur in Japan, while almost all material extraction impacts occur internationally. Vehicle size, PHEV utility factor, and battery capacity all strongly influence life-cycle impacts. Demand-side scenarios of increased occupancy, downsizing, and lifetime extension have the collective potential to reduce emissions by approximately 33% at the cohort level, while providing comparable mobility services. Lifetime extension requires additional material inputs with associated impacts; however, these impacts are repaid over time, resulting in an overall average emissions intensity (gCO2e/km) reduction of 7%. Vehicle electrification alone is unlikely to be sufficient to meet climate targets; therefore, demand-side measures should be implemented concurrently to decarbonize passenger transport while maintaining access to mobility services. While some opportunity exists to substitute upstream suppliers for lower-impact providers, the existence of low-pollution production havens is limited, further underscoring the importance of demand-side measures.
SN - 0013-936X
SN - 1520-5851
ER -