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PreprintCC BYbioRxiv

A statistical framework for system-level synthesis

  1. 1Dana Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

Abstract

Simultaneous profiling of thousands of biological features is now routine. Yet transforming the data into interpretable models of system behavior remains a fundamental bottleneck as current analyses generally identify feature-wise associations or extract latent structure without anchoring it to the variables that define the scientific question. Here we propose a framework for system-level synthesis that learns and predicts overarching processes, and reliably identifies participating features without data reuse. We develop Smoothing Spline Analysis of Variance-Singular Value Decomposition to learn overarching processes as smooth, flexible functions of nominal, ordinal and continuous covariates and their interactions. This unlocks prediction from covariates alone, while reserving measurements for conditional inference of feature participation. In applications, the framework recovered established biology while generating predictions and testable hypotheses. By linking high-dimensional variation to covariates, the framework advances analysis beyond feature-wise associations and unsupervised patterns, toward interpretable system-level models that vary with biological and experimental context.

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BibTeX
@misc{kumar2026statistical,
  title = {{A statistical framework for system-level synthesis}},
  author = {S. Kumar and F. Garbicz and R. Carrasco and R. Irizarry},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.19.760244},
  url = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.19.760244v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - A statistical framework for system-level synthesis
AU  - S. Kumar
AU  - F. Garbicz
AU  - R. Carrasco
AU  - R. Irizarry
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/19
PB  - bioRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.19.760244
UR  - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.19.760244v1
AB  - Simultaneous profiling of thousands of biological features is now routine. Yet transforming the data into interpretable models of system behavior remains a fundamental bottleneck as current analyses generally identify feature-wise associations or extract latent structure without anchoring it to the variables that define the scientific question. Here we propose a framework for system-level synthesis that learns and predicts overarching processes, and reliably identifies participating features without data reuse. We develop Smoothing Spline Analysis of Variance-Singular Value Decomposition to learn overarching processes as smooth, flexible functions of nominal, ordinal and continuous covariates and their interactions. This unlocks prediction from covariates alone, while reserving measurements for conditional inference of feature participation. In applications, the framework recovered established biology while generating predictions and testable hypotheses. By linking high-dimensional variation to covariates, the framework advances analysis beyond feature-wise associations and unsupervised patterns, toward interpretable system-level models that vary with biological and experimental context.
SN  - 2692-8205
ER  -