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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Multi-data source based quantifying urban flood severity in major Chinese cities (2000–2024) using a hybrid machine-learning weighting framework

  1. 1Shaanxi Normal University (Xi'an, China)

Abstract

Urban flooding poses a critical challenge to sustainable urban development, yet long-term comparative assessments remain limited by fragmented and heterogeneous disaster records. To address this gap, this study integrates multi-source flood-event data from 20 major Chinese cities during 2000–2024 and develops an impact-based framework for assessing urban flood severity. Official statistics, news reports, and social media records are combined to construct an event-level flood database, which supports the development of a Flood Severity Index (FSI). A hybrid weighting framework that combines conventional weighting schemes with machine-learning-assisted indicator attribution is developed to improve the robustness and interpretability of severity assessment. The results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity: southern cities exhibit higher average severity levels and more frequent high-severity events, whereas northern cities generally show lower baseline severity but remain vulnerable to episodic extreme flood impacts. Temporal analysis indicates substantial interannual variability rather than a consistent long-term increasing or decreasing trend. These findings highlight the need for region-specific flood management strategies, including reducing persistent high-severity impacts in southern cities and improving preparedness for abrupt extreme events in northern cities. This study demonstrates the value of integrating fragmented historical records into a comparable framework for urban flood severity assessment.

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BibTeX
@article{peng2026multidata,
  title = {{Multi-data source based quantifying urban flood severity in major Chinese cities (2000–2024) using a hybrid machine-learning weighting framework}},
  author = {Guoqiang Peng and Yujing Sun and Mao Wang and Min Chen and Fengyuan Zhang},
  journal = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5194/nhess-26-5421-2026},
  url = {https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/5421/2026/},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Multi-data source based quantifying urban flood severity in major Chinese cities (2000–2024) using a hybrid machine-learning weighting framework
AU  - Guoqiang Peng
AU  - Yujing Sun
AU  - Mao Wang
AU  - Min Chen
AU  - Fengyuan Zhang
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/30
JO  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-26-5421-2026
UR  - https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/5421/2026/
AB  - Urban flooding poses a critical challenge to sustainable urban development, yet long-term comparative assessments remain limited by fragmented and heterogeneous disaster records. To address this gap, this study integrates multi-source flood-event data from 20 major Chinese cities during 2000–2024 and develops an impact-based framework for assessing urban flood severity. Official statistics, news reports, and social media records are combined to construct an event-level flood database, which supports the development of a Flood Severity Index (FSI). A hybrid weighting framework that combines conventional weighting schemes with machine-learning-assisted indicator attribution is developed to improve the robustness and interpretability of severity assessment. The results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity: southern cities exhibit higher average severity levels and more frequent high-severity events, whereas northern cities generally show lower baseline severity but remain vulnerable to episodic extreme flood impacts. Temporal analysis indicates substantial interannual variability rather than a consistent long-term increasing or decreasing trend. These findings highlight the need for region-specific flood management strategies, including reducing persistent high-severity impacts in southern cities and improving preparedness for abrupt extreme events in northern cities. This study demonstrates the value of integrating fragmented historical records into a comparable framework for urban flood severity assessment.
SN  - 1684-9981
ER  -