Pre-registered tests of solid-state-physics-inspired LLM compression: a cluster-level negative result at small-language-model scale
Abstract
We report a three-month autonomous research-agent program testing five solid-state-physics-inspired compression mappings on pretrained language models, with predictions committed to git before any pilot data and a 3-sigma gate deciding PASS or SHELVE. The common anchor -- area-law / Kohn-nearsighted decay of the one-particle density matrix -- has a distance face (P001 Wannier, P002 tight-binding) and a rank face (P003 DMRG-truncated MLPs, P005 Wilson-RG, P011 tensor-train embeddings). P005 was pre-empted at Phase 1; three of four Phase-3 pilots were falsified. On the attention face, GPT-2-medium attention-versus-distance is best fit by a stretched exponential in 12 of 16 median-layer heads once probe padding is excluded, and a tight-binding cutoff costs +96% perplexity (P002); on Pythia-160M the Wannier sparsity 0.054 +/- 0.004 is indistinguishable from PCA, random-Haar and identity baselines (P001). On the rank face, per-token tensor-train bond dimension does not track surprisal (r = 0.016 vs a pre-registered 0.65) and the format inflates rather than compresses (P011). P003 is mixed: its scaling claim shelved (r = -0.434), its MPO premise died at stage-0, and its cross-paper check, r = 0.523 as first written, collapses to 0.047 under the same correction, leaving both cross-paper checks null. The results invert the pre-registered prediction that most attention heads behave like Kohn-nearsighted insulators, pointing instead to critical, glassy or heavy-tailed regimes; the inversion is specific to the <= 350M scale tested, while the rank-face no-gain result held to 7-8B. We contribute the pre-registration + 3-sigma + cluster-framing + append-only-catalogue discipline -- including why our own enforcement gate was designed but not deployed -- four pre-registered negative results with full data release, and the inversion. The catalogue holds eighteen concluded studies, seventeen negative.
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BibTeX
@misc{lu2026preregistered,
title = {{Pre-registered tests of solid-state-physics-inspired LLM compression: a cluster-level negative result at small-language-model scale}},
author = {Jun-qiang Lu},
howpublished = {arXiv},
year = {2026},
month = sep,
doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.34292},
eprint = {2609.34292},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.34292},
note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
TI - Pre-registered tests of solid-state-physics-inspired LLM compression: a cluster-level negative result at small-language-model scale
AU - Jun-qiang Lu
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/09/28
PB - arXiv
DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.34292
UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.34292
AB - We report a three-month autonomous research-agent program testing five solid-state-physics-inspired compression mappings on pretrained language models, with predictions committed to git before any pilot data and a 3-sigma gate deciding PASS or SHELVE. The common anchor -- area-law / Kohn-nearsighted decay of the one-particle density matrix -- has a distance face (P001 Wannier, P002 tight-binding) and a rank face (P003 DMRG-truncated MLPs, P005 Wilson-RG, P011 tensor-train embeddings). P005 was pre-empted at Phase 1; three of four Phase-3 pilots were falsified. On the attention face, GPT-2-medium attention-versus-distance is best fit by a stretched exponential in 12 of 16 median-layer heads once probe padding is excluded, and a tight-binding cutoff costs +96% perplexity (P002); on Pythia-160M the Wannier sparsity 0.054 +/- 0.004 is indistinguishable from PCA, random-Haar and identity baselines (P001). On the rank face, per-token tensor-train bond dimension does not track surprisal (r = 0.016 vs a pre-registered 0.65) and the format inflates rather than compresses (P011). P003 is mixed: its scaling claim shelved (r = -0.434), its MPO premise died at stage-0, and its cross-paper check, r = 0.523 as first written, collapses to 0.047 under the same correction, leaving both cross-paper checks null. The results invert the pre-registered prediction that most attention heads behave like Kohn-nearsighted insulators, pointing instead to critical, glassy or heavy-tailed regimes; the inversion is specific to the <= 350M scale tested, while the rank-face no-gain result held to 7-8B. We contribute the pre-registration + 3-sigma + cluster-framing + append-only-catalogue discipline -- including why our own enforcement gate was designed but not deployed -- four pre-registered negative results with full data release, and the inversion. The catalogue holds eighteen concluded studies, seventeen negative.
ER -