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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Testing for trends in online experiments

Abstract

Time-varying treatment effects can be estimated with linear regression paired with jackknife confidence intervals. In experiments at a large online video platform, the test based on this estimator is not much less powerful than modern tests for monotonic trends. If you suspect trends in your online experiments, consider using this estimator.

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BibTeX
@misc{haulk2026testing,
  title = {{Testing for trends in online experiments}},
  author = {Chris Haulk and Lee Richardson and Jacopo Soriano},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.01973},
  eprint = {2609.01973},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.01973},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Testing for trends in online experiments
AU  - Chris Haulk
AU  - Lee Richardson
AU  - Jacopo Soriano
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/02
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.01973
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.01973
AB  - Time-varying treatment effects can be estimated with linear regression paired with jackknife confidence intervals. In experiments at a large online video platform, the test based on this estimator is not much less powerful than modern tests for monotonic trends. If you suspect trends in your online experiments, consider using this estimator.
ER  -