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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-NDAge and ageing

Frailty severity, survival and physician service costs among older adults: a linked cohort study from Nova Scotia, Canada.

7 affiliations
  1. 1Primary Care Alberta - Health Intelligence, Evidence and Improvement (HIEI), Calgary, Alberta Canada.
  2. 2University of Calgary- Department of Community Health Sciences, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
  3. 3Nova Scotia Health and Dalhousie University - Geriatric Medicine Research, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
  4. 4Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences - Data & Analytic Services (DAS) and the Life Stage Program, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
  5. 5Dalhousie University - School of Physiotherapy, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
  6. 6Dalhousie University - Division of Geriatric Medicine, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
  7. 7Nova Scotia Health - Frailty & Elder Care Network, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.

Abstract

Background

Frailty is associated with greater healthcare use. Still, cost estimates can be biased when shorter survival among severely frail patients is not considered. This study estimated physician service costs across frailty levels, assessing how differential survival influenced expenditures.Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 944 older adults received comprehensive geriatric assessment following emergency department (ED) referral to internal medicine. Frailty was measured using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and categorised as well, mildly frail, moderately frail and severely frail. Publicly funded physician service costs (2015 Canadian dollars[$]) during the subsequent year were obtained from provincial claims. A three-part regression model adjusted for age, sex and illness acuity separated differences attributable to service intensity from those attributable to survival.Results

Participants were ED patients (Mage 80.8 years; 521 women [55%]) referred to Internal Medicine; 41.6% died within 1 year. Physician costs were concentrated in the months immediately following ED presentation. Costs for mildly and moderately frail patients were ~ 300−400 higher than for well patients, although differences were estimated imprecisely. Severely frail patients incurred $704 less than well patients over 1 year, primarily reflecting shorter survival. During periods patients were alive, all frailty groups incurred higher costs than the well group.Conclusions

Physician service costs varied non-linearly with frailty severity. Lower cumulative expenditure among severely frail patients does not necessarily imply lower healthcare need. Clinical pathways and health-system planning should consider differential survival and use frailty assessment to identify individuals who may benefit from proactive multidisciplinary, supportive or palliative care.

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BibTeX
@article{pulok2026frailty,
  title = {{Frailty severity, survival and physician service costs among older adults: a linked cohort study from Nova Scotia, Canada.}},
  author = {Mohammad H Pulok and Alexandra M van der Valk and Luke Mondor and Olga Theou and Kenneth Rockwood},
  journal = {Age and ageing},
  year = {2026},
  month = aug,
  doi = {10.1093/ageing/afag286},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42910912},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Frailty severity, survival and physician service costs among older adults: a linked cohort study from Nova Scotia, Canada.
AU  - Mohammad H Pulok
AU  - Alexandra M van der Valk
AU  - Luke Mondor
AU  - Olga Theou
AU  - Kenneth Rockwood
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/08/01
JO  - Age and ageing
DO  - 10.1093/ageing/afag286
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42910912
AB  - Background  Frailty is associated with greater healthcare use. Still, cost estimates can be biased when shorter survival among severely frail patients is not considered. This study estimated physician service costs across frailty levels, assessing how differential survival influenced expenditures.Methods  In this retrospective cohort study, 944 older adults received comprehensive geriatric assessment following emergency department (ED) referral to internal medicine. Frailty was measured using the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and categorised as well, mildly frail, moderately frail and severely frail. Publicly funded physician service costs (2015 Canadian dollars[$]) during the subsequent year were obtained from provincial claims. A three-part regression model adjusted for age, sex and illness acuity separated differences attributable to service intensity from those attributable to survival.Results  Participants were ED patients (Mage 80.8 years; 521 women [55%]) referred to Internal Medicine; 41.6% died within 1 year. Physician costs were concentrated in the months immediately following ED presentation. Costs for mildly and moderately frail patients were ~ 300−400 higher than for well patients, although differences were estimated imprecisely. Severely frail patients incurred $704 less than well patients over 1 year, primarily reflecting shorter survival. During periods patients were alive, all frailty groups incurred higher costs than the well group.Conclusions  Physician service costs varied non-linearly with frailty severity. Lower cumulative expenditure among severely frail patients does not necessarily imply lower healthcare need. Clinical pathways and health-system planning should consider differential survival and use frailty assessment to identify individuals who may benefit from proactive multidisciplinary, supportive or palliative care.
SN  - 0002-0729
SN  - 1468-2834
ER  -