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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Ultra-high-dimensional spot support screening in continuous-time regression

Abstract

We study variable screening for high-frequency continuous-time regression, targeting the support of the spot regression coefficient. Under coordinatewise truncation and finite-variation jumps, uniform entrywise bounds for local correlation estimates yield the rate {(log p)/n}α/(2α+1) under a local averaged α-Hölder condition, up to confidence and grid factors. These bounds imply sure screening for the marginal support. To retain the regression support under local dependence, we propose partial-residual spot iterative screening with pathwise Lepski adaptation. Under sparse eigenvalues and standardized beta-min, the procedure has the sure screening property and requires only correlation columns associated with the current active set. A list-size minimax lower bound applies to both support targets and matches the localization and multiplicity order of the marginal-screening bound when log(p/d)asymplog p. Simulations and a high-frequency factor application illustrate the procedures.

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BibTeX
@misc{zhu2026ultrahighdimensional,
  title = {{Ultra-high-dimensional spot support screening in continuous-time regression}},
  author = {Haibin Zhu},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2608.08582},
  eprint = {2608.08582},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.08582},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Ultra-high-dimensional spot support screening in continuous-time regression
AU  - Haibin Zhu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/25
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2608.08582
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.08582
AB  - We study variable screening for high-frequency continuous-time regression, targeting the support of the spot regression coefficient. Under coordinatewise truncation and finite-variation jumps, uniform entrywise bounds for local correlation estimates yield the rate {(log p)/n}^α/(2α+1) under a local averaged α-Hölder condition, up to confidence and grid factors. These bounds imply sure screening for the marginal support. To retain the regression support under local dependence, we propose partial-residual spot iterative screening with pathwise Lepski adaptation. Under sparse eigenvalues and standardized beta-min, the procedure has the sure screening property and requires only correlation columns associated with the current active set. A list-size minimax lower bound applies to both support targets and matches the localization and multiplicity order of the marginal-screening bound when log(p/d)asymplog p. Simulations and a high-frequency factor application illustrate the procedures.
ER  -