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Convergence Rates of Gaussian Process Thompson Sampling for Efficient Global Optimization

Abstract

Efficient global optimization aims to identify a global optimum of an expensive black-box function within a limited evaluation budget N. We investigate the convergence rates of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) under noiseless observations, assuming a fixed objective function in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). For Matérn kernels with smoothness parameter ν in dimension d, we establish a worst-case expected simple-regret upper bound of O(N−ν/d√(log N)) for both discrete GP-TS on sufficiently fine grids and its continuous counterpart. For the continuous implementation, we develop a nested-grid argument to control posterior sample paths over the entire domain. We further establish matching lower bounds of Ω(N−5/2√(log N)) for both implementations under a fixed one-dimensional Matérn-5/2 kernel, demonstrating that the logarithmic penalty is intrinsic to standard GP-TS in this setting. Motivated by this limitation, we propose Gaussian Process Capped Thompson Sampling (GP-CTS), which caps posterior sample paths using a valid RKHS norm upper bound while preserving optimism. This modification successfully eliminates the logarithmic penalty and achieves the minimax-optimal rate Θ(N−ν/d) for both discrete and continuous implementations.

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BibTeX
@misc{wang2026convergence,
  title = {{Convergence Rates of Gaussian Process Thompson Sampling for Efficient Global Optimization}},
  author = {Haowei Wang and Yilin Zheng},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.19925},
  eprint = {2610.19925},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.19925},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Convergence Rates of Gaussian Process Thompson Sampling for Efficient Global Optimization
AU  - Haowei Wang
AU  - Yilin Zheng
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/14
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.19925
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.19925
AB  - Efficient global optimization aims to identify a global optimum of an expensive black-box function within a limited evaluation budget N. We investigate the convergence rates of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) under noiseless observations, assuming a fixed objective function in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). For Matérn kernels with smoothness parameter ν in dimension d, we establish a worst-case expected simple-regret upper bound of O(N^−ν/d√(log N)) for both discrete GP-TS on sufficiently fine grids and its continuous counterpart. For the continuous implementation, we develop a nested-grid argument to control posterior sample paths over the entire domain. We further establish matching lower bounds of Ω(N^−5/2√(log N)) for both implementations under a fixed one-dimensional Matérn-5/2 kernel, demonstrating that the logarithmic penalty is intrinsic to standard GP-TS in this setting. Motivated by this limitation, we propose Gaussian Process Capped Thompson Sampling (GP-CTS), which caps posterior sample paths using a valid RKHS norm upper bound while preserving optimism. This modification successfully eliminates the logarithmic penalty and achieves the minimax-optimal rate Θ(N^−ν/d) for both discrete and continuous implementations.
ER  -