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Peer-reviewedCC BYAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland)

Artificial Intelligence in the Fight Against Antimicrobial Resistance: Applications in Diagnosis, Susceptibility Prediction, Precision Dosing, and Antibiotic Discovery.

  1. 1Pediatric Clinic, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, 43126 Parma, Italy.
  2. 2Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, 20122 Milan, Italy.

Abstract

Background

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a major global health threat, while conventional diagnostic, stewardship, dosing, and drug-development strategies remain limited by diagnostic delays, population-level decision-making, and a shrinking antibiotic pipeline. Artificial intelligence (AI) may help address these gaps by integrating complex clinical, microbiological, genomic, pharmacological, and chemical data.Methods

We conducted a narrative review of English-language publications issued between 1 January 2010 and 27 August 2026. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched using a prespecified combination of terms related to AI, machine learning, AMR, diagnosis, susceptibility prediction, antimicrobial stewardship, precision dosing, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and antibiotic discovery. A separate structured search of ClinicalTrials.gov, the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and ISRCTN was performed on 27 August 2026 to identify prospective interventional studies.Results

AI-based systems demonstrated promising performance in differentiating bacterial from viral infections, predicting bacteremia and sepsis, enhancing matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight interpretation, estimating antimicrobial susceptibility, supporting individualized empirical therapy, optimizing antibiotic dosing, and accelerating compound discovery. However, external and temporal validation frequently produced substantially poorer performance than internal validation. In representative resistance-prediction studies, AUROC declined from 0.94 internally to 0.55 during temporally independent external validation and by 0.10-0.25 over 18 months. Moreover, the structured registry search identified five prospective interventional studies of AI-based applications and one additional randomized study of conventional model-informed precision dosing.Conclusions

Current evidence demonstrates that AI can generate technically promising predictions, but it does not yet establish consistent clinical or economic benefit. Discrimination alone is insufficient to demonstrate clinical usefulness. Prospective multicenter trials, clinically meaningful outcome measures, external validation, continuous monitoring for model drift, and formal implementation and cost-effectiveness evaluations are required before widespread adoption.

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BibTeX
@article{esposito2026artificial,
  title = {{Artificial Intelligence in the Fight Against Antimicrobial Resistance: Applications in Diagnosis, Susceptibility Prediction, Precision Dosing, and Antibiotic Discovery.}},
  author = {Susanna Esposito and Valentina Fainardi and Gaia Giorgia Arnesano and Alberto Argentiero and Nicola Principi},
  journal = {Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland)},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3390/antibiotics15100983},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42938724},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Artificial Intelligence in the Fight Against Antimicrobial Resistance: Applications in Diagnosis, Susceptibility Prediction, Precision Dosing, and Antibiotic Discovery.
AU  - Susanna Esposito
AU  - Valentina Fainardi
AU  - Gaia Giorgia Arnesano
AU  - Alberto Argentiero
AU  - Nicola Principi
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/06
JO  - Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland)
DO  - 10.3390/antibiotics15100983
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42938724
AB  - Background  Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a major global health threat, while conventional diagnostic, stewardship, dosing, and drug-development strategies remain limited by diagnostic delays, population-level decision-making, and a shrinking antibiotic pipeline. Artificial intelligence (AI) may help address these gaps by integrating complex clinical, microbiological, genomic, pharmacological, and chemical data.Methods  We conducted a narrative review of English-language publications issued between 1 January 2010 and 27 August 2026. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched using a prespecified combination of terms related to AI, machine learning, AMR, diagnosis, susceptibility prediction, antimicrobial stewardship, precision dosing, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and antibiotic discovery. A separate structured search of ClinicalTrials.gov, the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and ISRCTN was performed on 27 August 2026 to identify prospective interventional studies.Results  AI-based systems demonstrated promising performance in differentiating bacterial from viral infections, predicting bacteremia and sepsis, enhancing matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight interpretation, estimating antimicrobial susceptibility, supporting individualized empirical therapy, optimizing antibiotic dosing, and accelerating compound discovery. However, external and temporal validation frequently produced substantially poorer performance than internal validation. In representative resistance-prediction studies, AUROC declined from 0.94 internally to 0.55 during temporally independent external validation and by 0.10-0.25 over 18 months. Moreover, the structured registry search identified five prospective interventional studies of AI-based applications and one additional randomized study of conventional model-informed precision dosing.Conclusions  Current evidence demonstrates that AI can generate technically promising predictions, but it does not yet establish consistent clinical or economic benefit. Discrimination alone is insufficient to demonstrate clinical usefulness. Prospective multicenter trials, clinically meaningful outcome measures, external validation, continuous monitoring for model drift, and formal implementation and cost-effectiveness evaluations are required before widespread adoption.
SN  - 2079-6382
ER  -