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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Nutrients

CP-BayesNE: Uncertainty-Aware Personalized Nutrient-Density Estimation from Food Images Using Conformal Prediction and Prior-Corrected Dietary Adaptation

4 affiliations
  1. 1Graduate School of Engineering, Kobe University, 1-1 Rokkodai-cho, Nada-ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan
  2. 2Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe University, 7-10-2 Tomogaoka, Suma-ku, Kobe 654-0142, Japan
  3. 3School of Gerontology and Long-Term Care, Taipei Medical University, No. 250, Wuxing St., Taipei 11031, Taiwan
  4. 4Center for Mathematical and Data Sciences, Kobe University, 1-1 Rokkodai-cho, Nada-ku, Kobe 657-8501, Japan

Abstract

Background/Objectives: Reliable longitudinal dietary assessment is a prerequisite for precision nutrition, important for studying nutrition-related changes in health and physical function, but conventional dietary recording can impose substantial user burden. AI-driven, food-image-based assessment can reduce this burden, although uncertainty in food recognition and inter-individual dietary differences may propagate to nutrient estimation. Methods:We developed CP-BayesNE, an uncertainty-aware framework that combines temperature-scaled food classification, conformal candidate sets, training-prior-corrected dietary-history personalization, and posterior-weighted nutrient estimation to support AI-driven personalized nutrition. Results: EfficientNetV2-S achieved 78.01% Top-1 and 93.67% Top-5 accuracy, while temperature scaling reduced expected calibration error from 0.11238 to 0.04345. At α=0.10, regularized adaptive prediction sets reduced the average candidate-set size from 80.78 to 5.77 while maintaining 94.32% empirical category coverage. In FoodLogAthl-218, prior-corrected personalization reduced nutrient density mean absolute error (MAE) by 4.0–6.6% across energy and macronutrients over 51 users. A single-participant 92-meal personal dataset provided preliminary end-to-end feasibility evidence, while also revealing limitations, including slightly worse fat MAE and conservative nutrient intervals. Conclusions: These findings support uncertainty-aware personalized dietary assessment while emphasizing that category-level conformal validity does not directly imply accurate true dietary intake.

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BibTeX
@article{tong2026cpbayesne,
  title = {{CP-BayesNE: Uncertainty-Aware Personalized Nutrient-Density Estimation from Food Images Using Conformal Prediction and Prior-Corrected Dietary Adaptation}},
  author = {Zhaozhen Tong and Kumiko Ono and Shu-Chun Lee and Hsin-Yen Yen and Masahide Nakamura and Sinan Chen},
  journal = {Nutrients},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3390/nu18213567},
  url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/18/21/3567},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - CP-BayesNE: Uncertainty-Aware Personalized Nutrient-Density Estimation from Food Images Using Conformal Prediction and Prior-Corrected Dietary Adaptation
AU  - Zhaozhen Tong
AU  - Kumiko Ono
AU  - Shu-Chun Lee
AU  - Hsin-Yen Yen
AU  - Masahide Nakamura
AU  - Sinan Chen
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/28
JO  - Nutrients
DO  - 10.3390/nu18213567
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/18/21/3567
AB  - Background/Objectives: Reliable longitudinal dietary assessment is a prerequisite for precision nutrition, important for studying nutrition-related changes in health and physical function, but conventional dietary recording can impose substantial user burden. AI-driven, food-image-based assessment can reduce this burden, although uncertainty in food recognition and inter-individual dietary differences may propagate to nutrient estimation. Methods:We developed CP-BayesNE, an uncertainty-aware framework that combines temperature-scaled food classification, conformal candidate sets, training-prior-corrected dietary-history personalization, and posterior-weighted nutrient estimation to support AI-driven personalized nutrition. Results: EfficientNetV2-S achieved 78.01% Top-1 and 93.67% Top-5 accuracy, while temperature scaling reduced expected calibration error from 0.11238 to 0.04345. At α=0.10, regularized adaptive prediction sets reduced the average candidate-set size from 80.78 to 5.77 while maintaining 94.32% empirical category coverage. In FoodLogAthl-218, prior-corrected personalization reduced nutrient density mean absolute error (MAE) by 4.0–6.6% across energy and macronutrients over 51 users. A single-participant 92-meal personal dataset provided preliminary end-to-end feasibility evidence, while also revealing limitations, including slightly worse fat MAE and conservative nutrient intervals. Conclusions: These findings support uncertainty-aware personalized dietary assessment while emphasizing that category-level conformal validity does not directly imply accurate true dietary intake.
SN  - 2072-6643
ER  -