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PreprintCC BY 4.0Zenodo

How policy and technological path dependence shape energy-system futures in ScenarioMIP-CMIP7

  • Christoph Bertram1
  • Gunnar Luderer2
  • Vassilis Daioglou3
  • Laurent Drouet4
  • Mel George5
  • Matthew Gidden6
  • Fabrice Lécuyer7
  • Robin Hasse
  • Haewon McJeon8
  • Ken Oshiro9
  • Yang Ou10
  • Robert Pietzcker7
40 more authors
  • Roberto Schaeffer11
  • Falko Ueckerdt
  • Bas van Ruijven12
  • Behnam Zakeri13
  • Lara Aleluia Reis
  • Gerd Angelkorte14
  • Luiz Bernardo Baptista
  • Lavinia Baumstark
  • Elina Brutschin12
  • Ryna Cui15
  • Jaya Devan16
  • Harmen Sytze de Boer
  • Ioannis Dafnomilis3
  • Fricko Oliver12
  • Shinichiro Fujimori17
  • Marco Gambarini4
  • Johanna Hoppe7
  • Aneeque Javaid12
  • siddharth joshi
  • Andy Miller
  • Jarmo Kikstra12
  • Volker Krey12
  • Elmar Kriegler18
  • Florian Maczek12
  • Alessio Mastrucci12
  • Measrainsey Meng
  • Shotaro Mori19
  • Osamu Nishiura20
  • Setu Pelz12
  • Keywan Riahi12
  • Renato Rodrigues
  • Isabela Schmidt Tagomori3
  • Felix Schreyer7
  • Jun Ukita Shepard
  • Luis Felipe Sivolella11
  • Mohammed Syed16
  • massimo tavoni21
  • Rik van Heerden
  • Detlef van Vuuren22
  • Brian O'Neill5
22 affiliations
  1. 1University of Maryland, College Park
  2. 2Technische Universität Berlin
  3. 3Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
  4. 4Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
  5. 5Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
  6. 6Climate Analytics
  7. 7Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  8. 8Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
  9. 9Hokkaido University
  10. 10Peking University
  11. 11Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
  12. 12International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
  13. 13Vienna University of Economics and Business
  14. 14Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Editora UFRJ
  15. 15University of Maryland Global Campus
  16. 16University of Maryland
  17. 17Kyoto Univresity
  18. 18University of Potsdam
  19. 19Kyoto University
  20. 20National Institute for Environmental Studies
  21. 21CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
  22. 22PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
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Abstract

Preprint of the article "How policy and technological path dependence shape energy-system futures in ScenarioMIP-CMIP7". The paper analyzes the energy supply and transformation futures across the ScenarioMIP-CMIP7 marker scenarios, comparing them with non-marker variants, and the CMIP6-SSP-RCP scenarios from a decade ago. The preprint is accompanied by supplementary material.

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Cite

BibTeXRIS
BibTeX
@misc{bertram2026policy,
  title = {{How policy and technological path dependence shape energy-system futures in ScenarioMIP-CMIP7}},
  author = {Christoph Bertram and Gunnar Luderer and Vassilis Daioglou and Laurent Drouet and Mel George and Matthew Gidden and Fabrice Lécuyer and Robin Hasse and Haewon McJeon and Ken Oshiro and Yang Ou and Robert Pietzcker and Roberto Schaeffer and Falko Ueckerdt and Bas van Ruijven and Behnam Zakeri and Lara Aleluia Reis and Gerd Angelkorte and Luiz Bernardo Baptista and Lavinia Baumstark and Elina Brutschin and Ryna Cui and Jaya Devan and Harmen Sytze de Boer and Ioannis Dafnomilis and Fricko Oliver and Shinichiro Fujimori and Marco Gambarini and Johanna Hoppe and Aneeque Javaid and siddharth joshi and Andy Miller and Jarmo Kikstra and Volker Krey and Elmar Kriegler and Florian Maczek and Alessio Mastrucci and Measrainsey Meng and Shotaro Mori and Osamu Nishiura and Setu Pelz and Keywan Riahi and Renato Rodrigues and Isabela Schmidt Tagomori and Felix Schreyer and Jun Ukita Shepard and Luis Felipe Sivolella and Mohammed Syed and massimo tavoni and Rik van Heerden and Detlef van Vuuren and Brian O'Neill},
  howpublished = {Zenodo},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23593965},
  url = {https://zenodo.org/records/23593965},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - How policy and technological path dependence shape energy-system futures in ScenarioMIP-CMIP7
AU  - Christoph Bertram
AU  - Gunnar Luderer
AU  - Vassilis Daioglou
AU  - Laurent Drouet
AU  - Mel George
AU  - Matthew Gidden
AU  - Fabrice Lécuyer
AU  - Robin Hasse
AU  - Haewon McJeon
AU  - Ken Oshiro
AU  - Yang Ou
AU  - Robert Pietzcker
AU  - Roberto Schaeffer
AU  - Falko Ueckerdt
AU  - Bas van Ruijven
AU  - Behnam Zakeri
AU  - Lara Aleluia Reis
AU  - Gerd Angelkorte
AU  - Luiz Bernardo Baptista
AU  - Lavinia Baumstark
AU  - Elina Brutschin
AU  - Ryna Cui
AU  - Jaya Devan
AU  - Harmen Sytze de Boer
AU  - Ioannis Dafnomilis
AU  - Fricko Oliver
AU  - Shinichiro Fujimori
AU  - Marco Gambarini
AU  - Johanna Hoppe
AU  - Aneeque Javaid
AU  - siddharth joshi
AU  - Andy Miller
AU  - Jarmo Kikstra
AU  - Volker Krey
AU  - Elmar Kriegler
AU  - Florian Maczek
AU  - Alessio Mastrucci
AU  - Measrainsey Meng
AU  - Shotaro Mori
AU  - Osamu Nishiura
AU  - Setu Pelz
AU  - Keywan Riahi
AU  - Renato Rodrigues
AU  - Isabela Schmidt Tagomori
AU  - Felix Schreyer
AU  - Jun Ukita Shepard
AU  - Luis Felipe Sivolella
AU  - Mohammed Syed
AU  - massimo tavoni
AU  - Rik van Heerden
AU  - Detlef van Vuuren
AU  - Brian O'Neill
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/23
PB  - Zenodo
DO  - 10.5281/zenodo.23593965
UR  - https://zenodo.org/records/23593965
AB  - Preprint of the article "How policy and technological path dependence shape energy-system futures in ScenarioMIP-CMIP7". The paper analyzes the energy supply and transformation futures across the ScenarioMIP-CMIP7 marker scenarios, comparing them with non-marker variants, and the CMIP6-SSP-RCP scenarios from a decade ago. The preprint is accompanied by supplementary material.
ER  -