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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-NDThe Journal of frailty & aging

Midlife physical activity trajectories are associated with reduced physical pre-frailty/frailty in older age: insights from the prospective ATTICA sub-study 2002-2024.

4 affiliations
  1. 1First Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Laikon General Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece.
  2. 2Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, School of Health Sciences and Education, Harokopio University, Athens, Greece.
  3. 3First Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ioannina, Ioannina, Greece.
  4. 4First Department of Propaedeutic Internal Medicine, Laikon General Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece. Electronic address: [email protected].

Abstract

Background

Although physical activity in older adults has been associated with lower risk of frailty, it is unclear if midlife physical activity patterns are associated with pre-frailty/frailty status in older age.Objectives

To investigate whether longitudinal midlife physical activity trajectories are associated with physical pre-frailty/frailty development in older age, independent of cardiometabolic risk and other lifestyle factors.Design

Population-based prospective cohort study.Settings

In-person assessments and telephone interviews of persons living in urban communities in Attica, Greece.Participants

Surviving participants of the ATTICA cohort study (2002-2024) who were older than 33 years at baseline.Measurements

Demographic, anthropometric, clinical, and lifestyle parameters were recorded at baseline and throughout the study. According to binary self-reported physical activity levels (<600 vs ≥600 metabolic equivalent minutes per week) at baseline, 5-year and 10-year follow-up, 4 ordered trajectories of physical activity were defined: persistently inactive, declining activity, inclining activity, and persistently active, and their association with the odds of pre-frailty/frailty development according to the phenotypic (FRAIL scale) model were investigated by applying multivariable logistic regression models.Results

Relative to persistent inactivity, persistently active and inclining physical activity lifestyles were associated with 80% and 79% decreased odds of pre-frailty/frailty at 22-year follow-up, respectively, after adjusting for age, sex, years of education, baseline body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, and hypercholesterolemia. The population fraction of pre-frailtand frailty that could be attributed to unhealthy physical activity trajectories throughout midlife is 49.5% (95% confidence interval, 36.3 to 59.9), rising to 64.8% (95% confidence interval, 49.6 to 75.4) when also considering hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity.Conclusion

Steadily high or rising physical activity trajectories during midlife were associated with lower odds of physical pre-frailty/frailty in older age, independently of cardiometabolic risk factors. These findings support that achieving and maintaining higher physical activity levels across midlife may be one of the keys to healthy aging.

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BibTeX
@article{sgouropoulou2026midlife,
  title = {{Midlife physical activity trajectories are associated with reduced physical pre-frailty/frailty in older age: insights from the prospective ATTICA sub-study 2002-2024.}},
  author = {Danai Sgouropoulou and Sofia-Panagiota Giannakopoulou and Evangelia Damigou and Fotios Barkas and Evangelos Liberopoulos and Demosthenes B Panagiotakos and Petros P Sfikakis and Evrydiki Kravvariti},
  journal = {The Journal of frailty \& aging},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1016/j.tjfa.2026.100217},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42895852},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Midlife physical activity trajectories are associated with reduced physical pre-frailty/frailty in older age: insights from the prospective ATTICA sub-study 2002-2024.
AU  - Danai Sgouropoulou
AU  - Sofia-Panagiota Giannakopoulou
AU  - Evangelia Damigou
AU  - Fotios Barkas
AU  - Evangelos Liberopoulos
AU  - Demosthenes B Panagiotakos
AU  - Petros P Sfikakis
AU  - Evrydiki Kravvariti
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/19
JO  - The Journal of frailty & aging
DO  - 10.1016/j.tjfa.2026.100217
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42895852
AB  - Background  Although physical activity in older adults has been associated with lower risk of frailty, it is unclear if midlife physical activity patterns are associated with pre-frailty/frailty status in older age.Objectives  To investigate whether longitudinal midlife physical activity trajectories are associated with physical pre-frailty/frailty development in older age, independent of cardiometabolic risk and other lifestyle factors.Design  Population-based prospective cohort study.Settings  In-person assessments and telephone interviews of persons living in urban communities in Attica, Greece.Participants  Surviving participants of the ATTICA cohort study (2002-2024) who were older than 33 years at baseline.Measurements  Demographic, anthropometric, clinical, and lifestyle parameters were recorded at baseline and throughout the study. According to binary self-reported physical activity levels (<600 vs ≥600 metabolic equivalent minutes per week) at baseline, 5-year and 10-year follow-up, 4 ordered trajectories of physical activity were defined: persistently inactive, declining activity, inclining activity, and persistently active, and their association with the odds of pre-frailty/frailty development according to the phenotypic (FRAIL scale) model were investigated by applying multivariable logistic regression models.Results  Relative to persistent inactivity, persistently active and inclining physical activity lifestyles were associated with 80% and 79% decreased odds of pre-frailty/frailty at 22-year follow-up, respectively, after adjusting for age, sex, years of education, baseline body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, and hypercholesterolemia. The population fraction of pre-frailtand frailty that could be attributed to unhealthy physical activity trajectories throughout midlife is 49.5% (95% confidence interval, 36.3 to 59.9), rising to 64.8% (95% confidence interval, 49.6 to 75.4) when also considering hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity.Conclusion  Steadily high or rising physical activity trajectories during midlife were associated with lower odds of physical pre-frailty/frailty in older age, independently of cardiometabolic risk factors. These findings support that achieving and maintaining higher physical activity levels across midlife may be one of the keys to healthy aging.
SN  - 2260-1341
SN  - 2273-4309
ER  -