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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0PLOS One

Measuring geographic proximity to family medicine and continuity of care in the last year of life: A population-level retrospective cohort study using Canadian health administrative data

8 affiliations
  1. 1Department of Family Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
  2. 2Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
  3. 3School of Earth, Environment, & Society, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
  4. 4ICES McMaster, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
  5. 5Centre for Integrated Care, St. Joseph’s Health System, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
  6. 6ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
  7. 7Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
  8. 8Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Abstract

Background: Family physicians provide most outpatient care in patients’ last year of life, but it remains unclear how geographic distance between patients and their physicians affects continuity of care. Patients living farther from care providers may experience reduced access and more fragmented care. This study examined whether geographic proximity to a family physician is associated with relational continuity of outpatient care in the last year of life. Methods: We conducted a population‑level retrospective cohort study of adults who died in Ontario, Canada, from 2021 to 2024, using linked health administrative data. Geographic proximity was measured using quartiles of the shortest driving distance (km) between each patient’s residence and their family physician’s practice location. Relational continuity was assessed using established measures capturing the concentration of visits, dispersion of care across physicians, and the temporal regularity of visits. Associations were estimated using proportional‑odds regression models adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical factors. Results: Among 400,499 patients, the mean age at death was 76.0 years, 52.2% were male, the mean (SD) distance to their family physician was 25.5 (92.0) km, with the highest quartile residing more than 14.2 km away from their family physician. Greater distance was associated with modestly lower relational continuity: each one-quartile increase in distance was linked to lower odds of higher continuity with the usual family physician (cOR: 0.88, 95%CI: 0.87, 0.88). Sensitivity analyses using travel time and Euclidean distance produced consistent findings. Discussion: Geographic proximity is a significant determinant of outpatient continuity near the end of life. Patients living farther from their family physicians experience more fragmented care, underscoring the need for system-level strategies to reduce geographic barriers, including improved local access to primary care and enhanced virtual-care models.

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BibTeX
@article{hafid2026measuring,
  title = {{Measuring geographic proximity to family medicine and continuity of care in the last year of life: A population-level retrospective cohort study using Canadian health administrative data}},
  author = {Shuaib Hafid and Lawrence Mbuagbaw and Bruce Newbold and Andrew Costa and Ana Gayowsky and Peter Gozdyra and Aaron Jones and Sarina R. Isenberg and Erin Gallagher and Michelle Howard},
  journal = {PLOS One},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0360638},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0360638},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Measuring geographic proximity to family medicine and continuity of care in the last year of life: A population-level retrospective cohort study using Canadian health administrative data
AU  - Shuaib Hafid
AU  - Lawrence Mbuagbaw
AU  - Bruce Newbold
AU  - Andrew Costa
AU  - Ana Gayowsky
AU  - Peter Gozdyra
AU  - Aaron Jones
AU  - Sarina R. Isenberg
AU  - Erin Gallagher
AU  - Michelle Howard
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/16
JO  - PLOS One
DO  - 10.1371/journal.pone.0360638
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0360638
AB  - Background: Family physicians provide most outpatient care in patients’ last year of life, but it remains unclear how geographic distance between patients and their physicians affects continuity of care. Patients living farther from care providers may experience reduced access and more fragmented care. This study examined whether geographic proximity to a family physician is associated with relational continuity of outpatient care in the last year of life. Methods: We conducted a population‑level retrospective cohort study of adults who died in Ontario, Canada, from 2021 to 2024, using linked health administrative data. Geographic proximity was measured using quartiles of the shortest driving distance (km) between each patient’s residence and their family physician’s practice location. Relational continuity was assessed using established measures capturing the concentration of visits, dispersion of care across physicians, and the temporal regularity of visits. Associations were estimated using proportional‑odds regression models adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical factors. Results: Among 400,499 patients, the mean age at death was 76.0 years, 52.2% were male, the mean (SD) distance to their family physician was 25.5 (92.0) km, with the highest quartile residing more than 14.2 km away from their family physician. Greater distance was associated with modestly lower relational continuity: each one-quartile increase in distance was linked to lower odds of higher continuity with the usual family physician (cOR: 0.88, 95%CI: 0.87, 0.88). Sensitivity analyses using travel time and Euclidean distance produced consistent findings. Discussion: Geographic proximity is a significant determinant of outpatient continuity near the end of life. Patients living farther from their family physicians experience more fragmented care, underscoring the need for system-level strategies to reduce geographic barriers, including improved local access to primary care and enhanced virtual-care models.
SN  - 1932-6203
ER  -