MODEL ADOPTION #4502: REJECT — VIDEO SCOUT: 3 ICT Trading Strategies Every Trader Should Know — E8 Intelligence Research
- 1Independent Researcher, United Kingdom
Abstract
DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives hostile scrutiny — the ICT "breakout after revisit" edge is timeframe-dependent (h1 only) and conflicts with our 15s–7m scalp mandate. The 5m bench (-37.5R) proves the core signal is noise at our speed. The proposed E8 filter (node alignment + 0.25 ATR proximity) is speculative — no backtest evidence shows it rescues a 13.5% win-rate strategy. EXPECTED IMPACT: Win-rate would drop (ICT h1 14.5% wr vs our ~50%), forcing us to hold 50+ bars — impossible for 15s–7m exits. Profit would degrade due to 20+ trade losing streaks and spread costs on 5m. RISK: Over-trading ranging markets; false FVG identification on low TF; stop-losses hit by E8 rhythm noise before target; model complexity without proven additive edge. TEST: Before any reconsideration, run frozen 90-day EURUSD 5m shadow with exact ICT rules + E8 node filter. Must show ≥45% win-rate AND ≥+20R over 500 trades (not 2,622) to even approach viability. Current data predicts fai
Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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BibTeX
@misc{caldin2026model,
title = {{MODEL ADOPTION #4502: REJECT — VIDEO SCOUT: 3 ICT Trading Strategies Every Trader Should Know — E8 Intelligence Research}},
author = {Andrew Stewart Caldin},
howpublished = {Zenodo},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23553586},
url = {https://zenodo.org/records/23553586},
note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
TI - MODEL ADOPTION #4502: REJECT — VIDEO SCOUT: 3 ICT Trading Strategies Every Trader Should Know — E8 Intelligence Research
AU - Andrew Stewart Caldin
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/22
PB - Zenodo
DO - 10.5281/zenodo.23553586
UR - https://zenodo.org/records/23553586
AB - DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives hostile scrutiny — the ICT "breakout after revisit" edge is timeframe-dependent (h1 only) and conflicts with our 15s–7m scalp mandate. The 5m bench (-37.5R) proves the core signal is noise at our speed. The proposed E8 filter (node alignment + 0.25 ATR proximity) is speculative — no backtest evidence shows it rescues a 13.5% win-rate strategy. EXPECTED IMPACT: Win-rate would drop (ICT h1 14.5% wr vs our ~50%), forcing us to hold 50+ bars — impossible for 15s–7m exits. Profit would degrade due to 20+ trade losing streaks and spread costs on 5m. RISK: Over-trading ranging markets; false FVG identification on low TF; stop-losses hit by E8 rhythm noise before target; model complexity without proven additive edge. TEST: Before any reconsideration, run frozen 90-day EURUSD 5m shadow with exact ICT rules + E8 node filter. Must show ≥45% win-rate AND ≥+20R over 500 trades (not 2,622) to even approach viability. Current data predicts fai Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
ER -