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PreprintCC BYChemRxiv

Disentangling Between-Target and Within-Target Signal in PPI Benchmarking

  1. 1Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine

Abstract

Pooled correlation, the metric usually reported when predicting mutation effects on protein–protein binding affinity (ΔΔG), mixes two different capabilities: placing targets on a common binding scale and ranking mutations correctly within a target. We formulate an exact between-/within-target covariance decomposition for PPI ΔΔG benchmarking, r = C_B + C_W, and apply it to matched, provenance-filtered evaluation sets. In a controlled comparison that changes only the split regime, on identical 7,523 mutation rows and identical model configurations, median pooled Pearson falls from 0.6844 under random splitting to 0.1508 under family-out-of-distribution evaluation, with ΔC_B = −0.4347 and ΔC_W = −0.1011; the between-target component accounts for 81.1% of the summed absolute component change. Target weighting changes how the components should be read: across five schemes C_B reverses sign in 40/109 configurations and in 34/109 even above |C_B| > 0.005, whereas C_W reverses in only 5/109. Fixed-K shortlist metrics are constrained by candidate-set geometry: a rank-linear discriminability surrogate is zero when n ≤ K and peaks near n* ≈ 20.5 for K = 10, and 40.8% of targets with n ≥ 5 fall in that degenerate regime. A matched retrospective ablation separated modifications that improve pooled scores only from those that also improve within-target ranking. External evidence from five methods is underpowered and its apparent cross-axis agreement is not robust to score orientation. Benchmarks should therefore report both components under declared weighting and candidate-set geometry.

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BibTeX
@misc{yu2026disentangling,
  title = {{Disentangling Between-Target and Within-Target Signal in PPI Benchmarking}},
  author = {Le Yu},
  howpublished = {ChemRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.26434/chemrxiv.15010846/v1},
  url = {https://chemrxiv.org/doi/full/10.26434/chemrxiv.15010846/v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Disentangling Between-Target and Within-Target Signal in PPI Benchmarking
AU  - Le Yu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/22
PB  - ChemRxiv
DO  - 10.26434/chemrxiv.15010846/v1
UR  - https://chemrxiv.org/doi/full/10.26434/chemrxiv.15010846/v1
AB  - Pooled correlation, the metric usually reported when predicting mutation effects on protein–protein binding affinity (ΔΔG), mixes two different capabilities: placing targets on a common binding scale and ranking mutations correctly within a target. We formulate an exact between-/within-target covariance decomposition for PPI ΔΔG benchmarking, r = C_B + C_W, and apply it to matched, provenance-filtered evaluation sets. In a controlled comparison that changes only the split regime, on identical 7,523 mutation rows and identical model configurations, median pooled Pearson falls from 0.6844 under random splitting to 0.1508 under family-out-of-distribution evaluation, with ΔC_B = −0.4347 and ΔC_W = −0.1011; the between-target component accounts for 81.1% of the summed absolute component change. Target weighting changes how the components should be read: across five schemes C_B reverses sign in 40/109 configurations and in 34/109 even above |C_B| > 0.005, whereas C_W reverses in only 5/109. Fixed-K shortlist metrics are constrained by candidate-set geometry: a rank-linear discriminability surrogate is zero when n ≤ K and peaks near n* ≈ 20.5 for K = 10, and 40.8% of targets with n ≥ 5 fall in that degenerate regime. A matched retrospective ablation separated modifications that improve pooled scores only from those that also improve within-target ranking. External evidence from five methods is underpowered and its apparent cross-axis agreement is not robust to score orientation. Benchmarks should therefore report both components under declared weighting and candidate-set geometry.
ER  -